Home / Betting guide Betarazi school The Betarazi betting guide
Read our numbers like a pro, understand every market on the coupon and protect your money while you do it. Over-18s only – keep it a hobby.
The four numbers on every Betarazi pick
Chance % Our estimate of how often the pick wins, from attack and defence ratings that are refreshed every night.
Odds @ The price in our odds feed. Compare it with fair odds (100 ÷ chance): a 64% pick is fairly priced at 1.56.
xG Expected goals for each side. 1.8 v 0.9 means the home team should create about twice as many good chances.
Edge How much longer the bookmaker price is than our fair odds. +10% means you are paid 10% more than the risk.
Match result (1X2) Full-time result is the oldest bet on the coupon. You pick one of three outcomes – 1 for the home side, X for a draw, 2 for the visitors – and the referee's final whistle decides it. Today's match result (1x2) picks → Double chance Double chance lets you hold two outcomes at once. 1X means the home side does not lose, X2 means the away side does not lose, and 12 means somebody wins. Today's double chance picks → Draw no bet Draw no bet is a straight win bet with an insurance clause. Your team wins, you are paid. It ends level, your stake comes back. Your team loses, the stake is gone. Today's draw no bet picks → Asian handicap Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a head start. "Napoli −1.5" means Napoli must win by two or more; "Lecce +1.5" wins if Lecce win, draw or lose by one. Today's asian handicap picks → Home wins Every game on this page has a home side our model gives at least a 50% chance of winning – the 1 in 1X2, sorted from strongest to weakest. Today's home wins picks → Away wins These are the visitors our ratings like to win on the road – the 2 in 1X2 – listed only when the chance is 45% or more. Today's away wins picks → Draws A draw (X) wins whenever the teams are level after 90 minutes – 0–0, 1–1, 2–2, any of them. Today's draws picks →
Goals markets
How many goals Over 1.5 goals Over 1.5 goals needs at least two goals in the game. 2–0, 1–1, 4–3 – it does not matter who scores them. Today's over 1.5 goals picks → Over 2.5 goals Over 2.5 goals is the classic goals bet: you need three or more in the match. Today's over 2.5 goals picks → Over 3.5 goals Over 3.5 goals needs four or more – 2–2, 3–1, 4–0 and upwards. Today's over 3.5 goals picks → Over 4.5 goals Over 4.5 goals is for the shoot-outs: five or more goals, such as 3–2, 4–1 or 5–0. Today's over 4.5 goals picks → Under 2.5 goals Under 2.5 goals wins when there are two goals or fewer: 0–0, 1–0, 1–1 or 2–0. Today's under 2.5 goals picks → Under 3.5 goals Under 3.5 goals wins with three goals or fewer – everything up to 2–1 or 3–0. Today's under 3.5 goals picks → Both teams to score Both teams to score – GG/NG or BTTS – only asks whether each side finds the net. GG (yes) needs a goal from both; NG (no) needs at least one clean sheet. Today's both teams to score picks → First-half goals First-half goals markets look at the first 45 minutes only – over 0.5 (a goal before the break), over 1.5, or the under lines for a slow half. Today's first-half goals picks → First team to score First team to score asks who breaks the deadlock. Bookmakers also call it "team to score first", with "no goal" as a third option. Today's first team to score picks →
Exact markets
Exact outcomes
Bankroll first, tips second
Use a level unit. Put the same 1–2% of your betting money on each bet, whether you are up or down.Shorter slips last longer. Each leg you add multiplies the risk – five 70% picks together come in only about one time in six.Do not chase. Bad days happen to everyone. Raising stakes to recover them turns a small loss into a big one.Write it down. A simple record of every bet shows you after a month which markets suit you.
Five habits that cost punters money
Believing a 75% tip cannot lose – it fails about once in four.
Taking favourites under 1.20 – one upset erases many small wins.
Forgetting the draw – in close games it is often the single likeliest result.
Betting every match on the card – skipping is a decision too.
Building 10-leg slips for a big payout – they almost never land.
See the full model on how Betarazi works , check every graded pick in our results , and if betting stops being enjoyable, free help is on our responsible gambling page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the percentage on Betarazi mean? It is how often we expect that pick to win, based on our team ratings and expected goals. A 70% pick should come in about seven times out of ten over a long run of similar games.
How do I convert a percentage to odds? 100 divided by the percentage. 50% = 2.00, 60% ≈ 1.67, 75% ≈ 1.33. A bookmaker price above that figure is working in your favour.
What is a value bet? A price that is longer than our percentage says it should be. Value picks often lose individually – the point is the return over many bets.
What should a beginner bet on? Double chance and over 1.5 goals land most often but pay least. Start with small, level stakes and never try to win back a loss.