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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers
Goals · Wednesday 11 November 2026

Over 3.5 Goals Predictions today

Wednesday 11 November: 14 over 3.5 goals picks with an average chance of 53%. Top of the list: Brighton W vs Watford W – Over 3.5 goals at 60%. So far today: 2 won · 3 lost.

Games built for four goals or more. Strongest first – tap any match for the full analysis.

Top 9 over 3.5 goals picks

Brighton W Watford W 182%1.02X10%19.0029%26.00 2.9–0.8xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 60%@1.32
Barnsley Oldham 153%1.67X21%4.75226%3.40 2.2–1.6xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 54%@1.67
HT Spain U192 Iceland U190 177%1.03X14%13.5028%32.00 2.8–0.9xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 54%@1.64
Avro Whitby Town 171%1.35X16%4.75213%5.85 3.0–1.3xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 53%@2.04
28' Bosnia-Herzegovina U191 San Marino U190 182%1.03X13%13.0026%35.00 3.0–0.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 53%@1.68
Juventus W Lyon W 116%21.00X16%9.50268%1.11 1.3–2.3xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 53%@1.62
Hammarby W Spartak Myjava W 171%1.01X16%11.50214%23.00 2.3–1.2xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 52%@1.55
Sunderland U21 Paris Saint-Germain U21 148%2.05X19%3.82233%2.68 1.8–1.5xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 51%@1.50
Tottenham Hotspur W Crystal Palace W 174%1.16X16%6.05210%10.50 2.8–1.0xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 51%@1.95

Finished

MexicoLiga MX Femenil1 matchTable ›

FT Pumas UNAM W2 Tigres UANL W3 125%3.30X16%4.10258%1.75 1.4–2.3xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 50%@1.83 ✓

AsiaSAFF Championship1 matchTable ›

FT India1 Maldives0 175%1.07X17%8.2028%15.50 2.8–0.9xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 50%@1.87 ✗

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification2 matchesTable ›

FT Belgium U192 Kosovo U190 174%1.15X17%7.4029%13.50 2.9–1.0xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 52%@1.90 ✗
FT Slovenia U191 England U194 113%19.75X14%10.00273%1.08 1.0–2.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 53%@1.68 ✓

WorldFriendlies1 matchTable ›

FT Vietnam2 Chinese Taipei0 174%1.09X13%8.60213%19.50 2.8–1.0xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 54%@1.71 ✗

Today's over 3.5 goals picks: today's figures

14 matches on Wednesday 11 November qualify for this market today, averaging 53%. The strongest still to play is Brighton W vs Watford W (WSL Cup): Over 3.5 goals at 60%, priced at 1.32. Most picks come from Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (4), England WSL Cup (2), Mexico Liga MX Femenil (1). 1 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Over 3.5 goals explained

Over 3.5 goals needs four or more – 2–2, 3–1, 4–0 and upwards.

Only about a quarter to a third of matches reach four goals, so expect odds of roughly 2.40 to 4.00. One late goal can make or ruin the ticket.

Where over 3.5 goals makes sense

A game appears here only when our model gives four-plus goals at least an even chance – two attacks in form and two defences that leak.

Checklist

  • Stake smaller than you would on over 1.5 or 2.5.
  • Two leaky defences beat one star striker for reliability.
  • Over 2.5 is the shorter-priced, safer version.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the Betarazi score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.

Frequently asked questions

How often are there four or more goals?

In 25–35% of matches in most leagues.

Is 2–2 over 3.5?

Yes, four goals.

How do you pick over 3.5 goals tips?

Every match is rated by our model and blended with the bookmakers' prices. For this page we show the over 3.5 goals outcome for each match, ordered by our chance – the strongest first.

What does the percentage mean?

It is our chance of the pick winning. Compare it with the bookmaker price: a pick at 70% has fair odds of 1.43, so any price above that offers value.

Are these tips graded?

Yes. Every pick is marked ✓ or ✗ on the 90-minute score once the match ends, and yesterday's results stay on the Yesterday tab.