Updated daily • Friday, May 22, 2026 • 18+ only

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
& Free Betting Tips

Today's best over 1.5 goals tips across 180+ leagues. The lowest-risk goals market in football — only a goalless draw or single-goal match defeats it.

2+
Goals
needed
75%+
Top league
hit rate
1.88
Max odds
cap
18+
Adults
only
All tips on this page are published for informational purposes only. No prediction is guaranteed. Never stake more than you can afford to lose. This site is strictly for adults aged 18 and over. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org or call GamCare free on 0808 8020 133.

Today's Over 1.5 Goals Tips

Friday, May 22, 2026
TimeMatchLeague ScoreTipOdds
18:45 Fiorentina vs Atalanta
85%
Italy — Serie A TBP Over 1.5 1.22
00:00 FC Motown II vs Westchester Flames
90%
USA — USL League Two 6–0 Over 1.5
00:00 Minnesota Aurora W vs Rochester W
90%
USA — USL W League 6–0 Over 1.5
00:00 West Chester United vs Delaware FC
95%
USA — USL League Two TBP Over 1.5
00:30 Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla
85%
Colombia — Primera B 2–1 Over 1.5 1.25
00:30 Flamengo U20 vs Santos U20
90%
Brazil — Brasileiro U20 A 2–1 Over 1.5
00:30 Blooming vs Carabobo FC
90%
South America — CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0–2 Over 1.5 1.38
00:30 Penarol vs Corinthians
85%
South America — CONMEBOL Libertadores 1–1 Over 1.5 1.57
00:30 U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
75%
South America — CONMEBOL Libertadores 2–0 Over 1.5 1.40
01:00 Laredo Heat vs San Antonio FC 2
95%
USA — USL League Two 4–0 Over 1.5
02:00 Portland Cherry Bombs FC W vs West Seattle Rhodies W
95%
USA — USL W League 0–3 Over 1.5
02:00 Macara vs Alianza Atletico
85%
South America — CONMEBOL Sudamericana 0–0 Over 1.5 1.30
09:00 Ho Chi Minh vs Bình Phước
90%
Vietnam — V.League 2 TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Livyi Bereh vs Metalurh Zaporizhya
85%
Ukraine — Persha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Oleksandria U19 vs Kryvbas 2020 U19
95%
Ukraine — U19 League TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Almaz Antey U19 vs Zenit U19
95%
Russia — Youth Championship TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Bukovyna 2 vs Polissya II
95%
Ukraine — Druha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Kolos Kovalivka II
90%
Ukraine — Druha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Real Pharm vs Kulykiv
95%
Ukraine — Druha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Uzhhorod vs Nyva Vinnytsya
90%
Ukraine — Druha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Zagłębie Lubin II vs Miedź Legnica II
95%
Poland — III Liga Group 3 TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Górnik Zabrze II vs Górnik Polkowice
95%
Poland — III Liga Group 3 TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Launceston United U21 vs Somerset
95%
Australia — Tasmania Northern Championship TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Talanta vs Fortune Sacco
85%
Kenya — Super League TBP Over 1.5
10:00 Penuel vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
90%
Ukraine — Druha Liga TBP Over 1.5
10:15 Eastern United vs Adelaide Blue Eagles
95%
Australia — South Australia State League 1 TBP Over 1.5
10:15 Ulverstone U21 vs Launceston U21
95%
Australia — Tasmania Northern Championship TBP Over 1.5
10:30 Machida Zelvia vs Urawa
90%
Japan — J1 League TBP Over 1.5 1.40
10:30 Northcote City vs Brunswick City
95%
Australia — Victoria NPL 2 TBP Over 1.5
10:30 Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Victory II
95%
Australia — Victoria NPL 2 TBP Over 1.5
11:00 Prison Leopards vs Nkwazi
75%
Zambia — Super League TBP Over 1.5
Showing 20 of 31 over 1.5 goals tips today

Best Over 1.5 Goals Bet Today

Top Confidence Pick — 22 May 2026
West Chester United vs Delaware FC
USL League Two — USA • 00:00 • 95% confidence • 3 avg goals
Tip
Over 1.5
Odds —

How We Select Over 1.5 Goals Tips

Step 01
Expected Goals Projection
Our model calculates an expected goals (xG) total for each fixture using attacking output, defensive concession rates, and head-to-head scoring data for both teams over their last ten matches. Only fixtures where the combined xG projection exceeds 1.80 are considered for this market.
Step 02
Historical Scoring Rate
We cross-reference each team's over 1.5 goals rate in recent fixtures — home games for the home side, away games for the visiting side. Both teams must have produced two or more goals in at least 70% of their last ten relevant matches for the selection to advance to the odds check stage.
Step 03
Odds Validation
The over 1.5 market must be available at 1.10 or above from at least one major bookmaker. Tips priced below 1.10 are excluded as the return no longer justifies inclusion even in accumulator contexts. The upper cap of 1.88 still applies — higher odds would imply insufficient statistical confidence for this market.
Step 04
Context Filter
Fixture context is applied as a final filter. Matches with unusually high draw incentives (final day relegation battles, cup finals where a draw leads to extra time), matches in extreme weather conditions, or fixtures where one side has already qualified with nothing to play for are excluded regardless of statistical profile.

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Over 1.5 Goals Betting Guide — Friday, May 22, 2026

What Does Over 1.5 Goals Mean?

Over 1.5 goals is a goals market where your bet wins if the total number of goals scored in a match reaches two or more. It does not matter which team scores, when the goals are scored, or what the final result is — as long as at least two goals are recorded before the final whistle, the bet wins.

A match finishing 1-0, 0-1, or 0-0 defeats an over 1.5 goals bet. Any other scoreline — 1-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 3-0, and so on — results in a win. This makes over 1.5 the lowest-risk goals market available in standard football betting, which is why it carries the lowest odds of any goals line.

Over 1.5 goals wins in roughly 75–80% of matches across Europe's top five leagues. Only a goalless draw or a single-goal game defeats it.

Because of its high baseline win rate, over 1.5 goals tips are most commonly used in accumulators where several low-odds legs are combined to produce a meaningful return. A five-leg accumulator of over 1.5 goals selections at average odds of 1.18 produces a combined return of approximately 2.29 — useful without requiring any single selection to carry high-risk odds.

Over 1.5 Goals vs Over 2.5 Goals

Over 1.5 requires two or more goals. Over 2.5 requires three or more. The practical difference is that over 2.5 loses in 1-0, 0-1, and 1-1 finishes, which together account for roughly 30–35% of professional matches. Over 1.5 only loses in 0-0 and single-goal results, which account for around 20–25% of matches. For risk-managed selections Betarazi's model defaults to over 1.5 unless the expected goals projection clearly supports the higher threshold.

Which Leagues Produce the Most Over 1.5 Results?

Not all leagues are equal when it comes to goals. Betarazi's model weights league-level goal rates when calculating fixture-level projections, so the source competition is always factored into each selection. Some leagues produce over 1.5 results at significantly higher rates than others.

Bundesliga

Germany's top division consistently produces the highest goals-per-game average among Europe's major leagues. Over 1.5 goals hits in over 82% of Bundesliga matches historically, making it the strongest league for this market. High pressing intensity, vertical playing styles, and relatively open defensive structures across the division all contribute to the elevated scoring rate.

Premier League

The Premier League produces over 1.5 goals in approximately 77% of matches. High defensive intensity and tactical variety mean the hit rate is slightly lower than the Bundesliga, but fixtures involving attacking-minded clubs — Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea — regularly clear the 1.5 threshold with strong statistical backing.

La Liga, Serie A, and Ligue 1

Spain, Italy, and France each produce over 1.5 goals at rates between 72% and 76% per season. La Liga fixtures involving the top clubs are strong candidates. Serie A and Ligue 1 have higher proportions of low-scoring matches particularly in mid-table and relegation-zone fixtures, so Betarazi's model applies stricter filtering thresholds in these leagues before publishing a tip.

Using Over 1.5 in Accumulators

Over 1.5 goals tips are among the most popular accumulator ingredients because their individual odds are low but their win rate is high enough to build reliable multi-leg slips. Betarazi publishes standalone over 1.5 tips daily on this page. Pre-built accumulator slips combining multiple goals markets across today's fixtures are available on our Accumulator Tips page.


Frequently Asked Questions

Over 1.5 goals means the match must finish with two or more goals total for the bet to win. Any scoreline with at least two goals — 1-1, 2-0, 3-1, etc. — wins the bet. Only a 0-0 draw or a single-goal result (1-0 or 0-1) defeats it. It is the lowest-risk goals market in football betting.
Yes. All over 1.5 goals predictions on this page are completely free to access. No registration or login is required. Tips are generated every morning from live fixture data and real-time bookmaker odds and updated throughout the day if significant odds movements are detected.
Across Europe's top five leagues, over 75% of matches produce two or more goals. Betarazi's model selects only fixtures where both the expected goals projection and the historical scoring data strongly support the threshold, targeting an accuracy rate above 85% on published tips. No individual prediction is guaranteed.
Over 1.5 wins with two or more goals. Over 2.5 wins with three or more. Over 1.5 is defeated only by 0-0, 1-0, and 0-1 results. Over 2.5 is also defeated by 1-1 finishes and any other two-goal result, making it a higher-risk, higher-odds market. Betarazi selects the appropriate threshold per fixture based on expected goal projections.
Yes. Over 1.5 goals tips are among the most popular accumulator ingredients. Because individual odds are low (typically 1.10–1.30), combining multiple legs produces meaningful combined returns at low individual risk. Five selections at average odds of 1.18 combine to approximately 2.29. Visit our Accumulator Tips page for pre-built multi-leg slips.
The Bundesliga has the highest over 1.5 hit rate among Europe's major leagues at around 82% per season. The Premier League follows at approximately 77%. La Liga, Serie A, and Ligue 1 range between 72% and 76%. Betarazi's model applies league-specific thresholds and always filters by fixture-level expected goals rather than relying on league averages alone.

Responsible Gambling

Before You Place Any Bet

Betting on football carries real and significant financial risk. No prediction, however carefully researched or statistically grounded, can guarantee a winning result. Everything on this page is analytical information published to help inform your own decisions. It is not financial advice and should not be treated as such.

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  • Take regular breaks and review your habits honestly
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