NPFL predictions

Betting on the NPFL: what the numbers say

Across the last 99 NPFL matches there have been 2.36 goals per game. That makes it a tighter league – under 2.5 goals has been the more common outcome. Home sides have won 56% of games and 34% have ended level, so the draw deserves respect here.

In the next seven days there are 10 NPFL matches with predictions, and our model expects 2.3 goals per game on average. Our strongest pick is Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers: Under 3.5 goals at 89%.

This season Bendel Insurance games have gone over 2.5 goals most often (83%), Warri Wolves games least (17%), and Rivers United have kept the most clean sheets (60% of games). Every team's numbers are on the NPFL stats page.

Our NPFL predictions combine each team's recent form and goal record with the bookmakers' prices. Every match page shows the chance of each outcome, fair odds for every market and the head-to-head record, so you can see exactly why we lean one way. For the day's best prices across every league, see our value bets.