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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers
Result · Wednesday 11 November 2026

Home Win Predictions today

Wednesday 11 November: 44 home wins picks with an average chance of 66%. Top of the list: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal – Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win at 82%. So far today: 10 won · 2 lost.

Hosts our ratings expect to take all three points. Strongest first – tap any match for the full analysis.

Top 10 home wins picks

51' Ibiza Islas Pitiusas0 Arenal0 182%1.01X13%10.2024%28.00 2.5–0.4xG 1Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win 82%@1.01
39' Bosnia-Herzegovina U191 San Marino U190 182%1.03X13%13.0026%35.00 3.0–0.7xG 1Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 to win 82%@1.03
Brighton W Watford W 182%1.02X10%19.0029%26.00 2.9–0.8xG 1Brighton W to win 82%@1.02
10' Serbia U190 Faroe Islands U190 178%1.12X16%8.1026%16.00 2.2–0.5xG 1Serbia U19 to win 78%@1.12
Colombe Victoria United 178%1.18X15%5.0527%13.00 2.5–0.6xG 1Colombe to win 78%@1.18
51' Spain U192 Iceland U190 177%1.03X14%13.5028%32.00 2.8–0.9xG 1Spain U19 to win 77%@1.03
Manacor Inter Ibiza 177%1.11X15%6.2528%17.25 2.6–0.7xG 1Manacor to win 77%@1.11
Tottenham Hotspur W Crystal Palace W 174%1.16X16%6.05210%10.50 2.8–1.0xG 1Tottenham Hotspur W to win 74%@1.16
Portugal U19 Lithuania U19 174%1.03X16%13.25210%30.00 2.1–0.6xG 1Portugal U19 to win 74%@1.03
Avro Whitby Town 171%1.35X16%4.75213%5.85 3.0–1.3xG 1Avro to win 71%@1.35

More home wins picks

WorldCAF Women's Champions League1 matchTable ›

53' Mamelodi Sundowns W4 Kawempe Muslim W0 164%1.34X21%4.25215%7.10 1.9–0.8xG 1Mamelodi Sundowns W to win 64%@1.34

SlovakiaCup1 matchTable ›

47' Podbrezová2 Zlaté Moravce0 164%1.18X21%5.60216%10.50 1.9–1.0xG 1Podbrezová to win 64%@1.18

FranceFeminine Division 11 matchTable ›

8' FC Fleury 91 W0 Toulouse W0 158%1.53X23%3.80219%5.00 2.3–1.4xG 1FC Fleury 91 W to win 58%@1.53

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification3 matchesTable ›

Austria U19 Belarus U19 169%1.23X18%5.80213%11.25 2.5–1.0xG 1Austria U19 to win 69%@1.23
80' Italy U192 Romania U190 169%1.46X20%4.10211%6.85 2.5–1.0xG 1Italy U19 to win 69%@1.46
France U19 Norway U19 168%1.51X21%4.40211%5.40 2.1–0.7xG 1France U19 to win 68%@1.51

WorldUEFA Europa Cup Women4 matchesTable ›

Hammarby W Spartak Myjava W 171%1.01X16%11.50214%23.00 2.3–1.2xG 1Hammarby W to win 71%@1.01
Eintracht Frankfurt W PSVEindhoven W 162%1.32X21%4.75216%6.50 1.8–0.9xG 1Eintracht Frankfurt W to win 62%@1.32
Torreense W Sparta Praha W 160%1.67X21%3.55219%4.15 2.5–1.3xG 1Torreense W to win 60%@1.67
Brøndby W Rosenborg W 151%2.12X22%3.30226%2.88 2.1–1.2xG 1Brøndby W to win 51%@2.12

WorldCAF U23 Cup Of Nations1 matchTable ›

Burkina Faso U23 Zambia U23 158%1.84X24%3.28218%3.84 1.7–0.8xG 1Burkina Faso U23 to win 58%@1.84

SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 32 matchesTable ›

Alcoyano Elche II 164%1.44X22%3.80214%6.00 2.0–0.8xG 1Alcoyano to win 64%@1.44
Cieza Valencia II 152%2.10X24%3.20224%3.00 1.7–0.9xG 1Cieza to win 52%@2.10

WorldPremier League International Cup1 matchTable ›

West Ham United U21 Juventus U21 163%1.78X19%3.58218%3.58 2.0–0.9xG 1West Ham United U21 to win 63%@1.78

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 61 matchTable ›

Ontinyent 1931 Utiel 162%1.43X22%3.78216%6.30 1.8–0.8xG 1Ontinyent 1931 to win 62%@1.43

EnglandWSL Cup1 matchTable ›

Liverpool W Aston Villa W 154%1.54X23%4.00223%4.50 2.1–1.5xG 1Liverpool W to win 54%@1.54

EnglandEFL Trophy2 matchesTable ›

Sheffield Wednesday Accrington ST 153%1.70X25%3.70222%4.10 1.8–1.2xG 1Sheffield Wednesday to win 53%@1.70
Barnsley Oldham 153%1.67X21%4.75226%3.40 2.2–1.6xG 1Barnsley to win 53%@1.67

ArgentinaReserve League1 matchTable ›

Talleres Córdoba Res. Sarmiento Res. 161%1.58X24%3.64215%4.99 1.7–0.7xG 1Talleres Córdoba Res. to win 61%@1.58

BrazilSerie B1 matchTable ›

Londrina Nautico Recife 155%1.74X23%3.65222%4.20 1.7–1.0xG 1Londrina to win 55%@1.74

Finished

WorldFriendlies3 matchesTable ›

FT Sint Maarten5 Anguilla1 178%1.16X14%10.0029%17.50 2.0–0.4xG 1Sint Maarten to win 78%@1.16 ✓
FT Vietnam2 Chinese Taipei0 174%1.09X13%8.60213%19.50 2.8–1.0xG 1Vietnam to win 74%@1.09 ✓
FT China U193 Vietnam U191 165%1.54X20%3.72215%5.23 1.9–0.8xG 1China U19 to win 65%@1.54 ✓

El-SalvadorPrimera Division1 matchTable ›

FT Isidro Metapán2 Platense1 165%1.73X23%3.34212%4.32 1.9–0.7xG 1Isidro Metapán to win 65%@1.73 ✓

UkrainePersha Liga1 matchTable ›

Postponed Chernihiv Inhulets 157%1.79X21%3.45222%3.65 1.7–0.9xG 1Chernihiv to win 57%@1.79

AsiaSAFF Championship1 matchTable ›

FT India1 Maldives0 175%1.07X17%8.2028%15.50 2.8–0.9xG 1India to win 75%@1.07 ✓

Turkey3. Lig Group 12 matchesTable ›

FT Pazarspor0 Kartal Bulvarspor0 159%1.80X24%3.32217%3.76 1.8–0.9xG 1Pazarspor to win 59%@1.80 ✗
FT Beykoz Anadolu1 Yalova Yeşilovaspor5 157%1.52X23%3.70220%5.15 1.6–0.9xG 1Beykoz Anadolu to win 57%@1.52 ✗

JapanJ League Cup1 matchTable ›

FT Urawa2 Cerezo Osaka0 152%1.83X22%3.50226%3.40 2.1–1.5xG 1Urawa to win 52%@1.83 ✓

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification3 matchesTable ›

FT Belgium U192 Kosovo U190 174%1.15X17%7.4029%13.50 2.9–1.0xG 1Belgium U19 to win 74%@1.15 ✓
FT Latvia U193 Moldova U191 160%1.60X19%3.96221%5.05 1.4–0.7xG 1Latvia U19 to win 60%@1.60 ✓
– Germany U19 Sweden U19 166%1.48X18%4.50216%5.65 2.6–1.2xG 1Germany U19 to win 66%@1.48

WorldCAF Women's Champions League1 matchTable ›

FT FAR Rabat W1 Lekie W0 165%1.47X22%3.90213%5.40 2.1–0.9xG 1FAR Rabat W to win 65%@1.47 ✓

Turkey3. Lig Group 21 matchTable ›

FT Gaziemirspor3 Akşehirspor1 161%1.38X22%4.20217%6.25 1.9–1.0xG 1Gaziemirspor to win 61%@1.38 ✓

Today's home wins picks: today's figures

44 matches on Wednesday 11 November qualify for this market today, averaging 66%. The strongest still to play is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal (Tercera División RFEF Group 11): Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win at 82%, priced at 1.01. Most picks come from Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (10), UEFA Europa Cup Women (4), Friendlies (3). 10 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Home wins explained

Every game on this page has a home side our model gives at least a 50% chance of winning – the 1 in 1X2, sorted from strongest to weakest.

The hosts must be in front at the final whistle; a draw loses just like an away win. Playing at home helps, but less than most punters think – across the big leagues the home team wins well under half of all matches.

Where home wins makes sense

The best home picks tick three boxes: a clear ratings gap, an attack that scores freely in front of its own fans, and visitors who struggle on the road. A long journey or a midweek game for the away side is a bonus.

Checklist

  • Look up the home table, not the overall table – some sides are a different team at home.
  • At 1.25 or shorter you carry a lot of risk for very little return.
  • Instead of adding a second favourite, pair a strong home pick with over 1.5 goals.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the Betarazi score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.

Frequently asked questions

How often does the home team win?

In most leagues somewhere between 42% and 47% of matches.

Why do big home favourites draw so often?

Visitors park the bus, the game stays tight and one moment of luck decides it – or nothing does.

How do you pick home wins tips?

Every match is rated by our model and blended with the bookmakers' prices. For this page we show the home wins outcome for each match, ordered by our chance – the strongest first.

What does the percentage mean?

It is our chance of the pick winning. Compare it with the bookmaker price: a pick at 70% has fair odds of 1.43, so any price above that offers value.

Are these tips graded?

Yes. Every pick is marked ✓ or ✗ on the 90-minute score once the match ends, and yesterday's results stay on the Yesterday tab.