Cieza 52%Draw 24%Valencia II 24%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.94
76%
Betarazi pick
Cieza or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Cieza to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCieza to win52% · @2.10
Double chanceCieza or draw76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.27
Cieza vs Valencia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cieza welcome Valencia II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Wednesday 11 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Cieza are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Valencia II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Cieza, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Poblense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Valencia II, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lorca Deportiva, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cieza, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Valencia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cieza 1.7 xG, Valencia II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cieza 52%, draw 24%, Valencia II 24%.
Lower-risk option: Cieza or draw (76%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Cieza to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Cieza or draw (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cieza 1–0 Valencia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cieza52%fair 1.92 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Valencia II24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
2.66Expected goals
1.73Cieza xG
0.94Valencia II xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cieza 1.7 – 0.9 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cieza
Valencia II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
+14%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.87
0.83
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Cieza or draw
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.70
Draw no bet
Cieza (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Valencia II +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
Cieza to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Cieza – last 6
LLLWWW
8 Nov
@ Poblense
0–1
L
1 Nov
vs Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–3
L
25 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Intercity
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Orihuela
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia II – last 6
DDDLWL
8 Nov
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Castellonense
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Elche II
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Poblense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Valencia II.
Our pick is Cieza or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cieza vs Valencia II?
On our numbers Cieza have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia II 24%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Valencia II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cieza vs Valencia II?
Our predicted score is Cieza 1–0 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cieza vs Valencia II?
Cieza vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
