Alcoyano 64%Draw 22%Elche II 14%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.83
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.37
7/10Rating
1.37Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlcoyano to win64% · @1.44
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 13.03
Alcoyano vs Elche II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Alcoyano v Elche II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Estadio El Collao. In the table, Alcoyano are 7th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Elche II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Alcoyano, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Castellonense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Elche II, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Intercity, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alcoyano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Elche II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 2.0 xG, Elche II 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 64%, draw 22%, Elche II 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–0 Elche II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcoyano64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.80
Elche II14%fair 7.18 · @6.00
2.78Expected goals
1.95Alcoyano xG
0.83Elche II xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 2.0 – 0.8 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alcoyano
Elche II
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 3 average
-2%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+47%
Our expected goals here
2.12
0.94
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win
64%
1.57
1.44
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Alcoyano -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Alcoyano ahead at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
8%
13.03
–
Recent results
Alcoyano – last 6
WDLLWW
8 Nov
@ Castellonense
4–3
W
1 Nov
vs Real Murcia II
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Mallorca II
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Elche II – last 6
DLLWLL
7 Nov
@ Intercity
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs Castellón II
1–5
L
25 Oct
@ Mallorca II
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Valencia II
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Ucam Murcia
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Elche II.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Elche II?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Elche II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Elche II?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Elche II?
Alcoyano vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
