Value bets today
Prices that look too long: our numbers give these outcomes a clearly better chance than the bookmaker does. Expect a lower hit rate and bigger odds – this is a long-run approach with small stakes.
WorldFriendlies2 matchesTable ›
El-SalvadorPrimera Division1 matchTable ›
ColombiaCopa Colombia1 matchTable ›
MexicoLiga MX Femenil1 matchTable ›
AsiaSAFF Championship2 matchesTable ›
JapanJ League Cup3 matchesTable ›
Turkey3. Lig Group 31 matchTable ›
EuropeUEFA U19 Championship Qualification17 matchesTable ›
Turkey3. Lig Group 11 matchTable ›
BelarusCoppa1 matchTable ›
SlovakiaCup2 matchesTable ›
WorldCAF U23 Cup Of Nations4 matchesTable ›
SpainTercera División RFEF Group 111 matchTable ›
WorldCAF Women's Champions League1 matchTable ›
FranceFeminine Division 11 matchTable ›
Lithuania1 Lyga1 matchTable ›
WorldUEFA Europa Cup Women4 matchesTable ›
EuropeUEFA Champions League Women2 matchesTable ›
SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 32 matchesTable ›
WorldPremier League International Cup1 matchTable ›
EnglandWSL Cup2 matchesTable ›
Today's value bets at a glance
54 value bets at an average price of 2.34, with an average edge of 18% over the bookmaker. The biggest: Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23 – Draw at 3.41, where we rate the chance at 50% against the 29% the price implies. 2 are draws, the outcome bookmakers most often price too long.
At odds of 2.34 you need to win about 43% of bets just to break even. Over the last 30 days our value bets won 1,487 of 3,358 (44%). That is why value betting is judged over hundreds of bets, not one day.
Staking value bets
- Keep each stake small and the same – around 1–2% of your betting bank.
- Value bets work best as singles; stacking them in one slip multiplies the risk.
- Check the price before you bet: if it has dropped below our fair odds, the value has gone.
- Expect losing runs. A 35% hit rate means losing five in a row happens regularly.
What makes a value spot
Odds are chances in disguise: 2.50 means the bookmaker thinks roughly 40% (100 ÷ 2.50), with their margin on top. If our ratings put the same outcome at 46% or higher, the price is too generous – and backing generous prices consistently is how value betting pays over time.
Value bets are listed separately from our main predictions because they lose more often. The results record tracks both, so you can see how each performs.
Frequently asked questions
What makes a value bet?
Our chance must be at least 6% higher than the chance implied by the bookmaker's odds (chance × odds ≥ 1.06), at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.
Will value bets win more often?
No – they win less often than our main picks, because the prices are bigger. The aim is a profit over many bets, not a win every time. Stake small and stay consistent.
Why do draws appear here?
Draws are often under-priced by bookmakers in close games. When our numbers rate a draw clearly higher than its price, it shows up as value.