Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 2.97 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBabrungas to win38% · @2.97
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.59
Babrungas vs Minija: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Babrungas v Minija in the 1 Lyga, played at Gargzdu arena. In the table, Babrungas are 2nd, among the top four, on 74 points after 30 matches; Minija are 1st (leading the league) with 74. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Babrungas, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over FA Šiauliai II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Minija, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Garliava, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Babrungas, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Minija.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Oct 2026) it ended Minija 2–3 Babrungas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Babrungas 1.4 xG, Minija 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Babrungas 38%, draw 26%, Minija 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Babrungas to win @2.97 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Babrungas 1–1 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Babrungas38%fair 2.64 · @2.97
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.28
Minija37%fair 2.74 · @2.14
2.70Expected goals
1.41Babrungas xG
1.29Minija xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Babrungas 1.4 – 1.3 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Babrungas
Minija
Attack vs 1 Lyga average
+21%
+57%
Goals conceded vs average
-45%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.15
Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Babrungas vs Minija?
On our numbers Babrungas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Minija 37%.
How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs Minija?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Babrungas vs Minija?
Our predicted score is Babrungas 1–1 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Babrungas vs Minija?
Babrungas vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gargzdu arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
