Over 1.5 Goals Tips

Over 1.5 goals treble for Wednesday 11 November: pick by pick

Saint-Priest vs Rumilly Vallières (National 2 Group C, 18:00 WAT): Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, a 83% chance. Our goal model expects 3.7 goals (Saint-Priest 1.5, Rumilly Vallières 2.1).

Colombe vs Victoria United (Elite One, 18:00 WAT): Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, a 75% chance. Our goal model expects 3.0 goals (Colombe 2.5, Victoria United 0.6).

Castellonense vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3, 18:45 WAT): Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, a 74% chance. Our goal model expects 2.9 goals (Castellonense 1.7, La Nucía 1.2).

Combined, the 3 legs pay 2.03, and our chance of all of them landing is 46%. Put 1,000 on it and the return is 2,030.

How the over 1.5 goals treble works

This treble picks the three matches where our goal model is most confident of at least two goals. Most games clear 1.5 goals; the craft is spotting the few that won't.

We want two signals agreeing: our own expected goals and the bookmaker's goal lines. When both point above 2.5 goals, a 1.5 line has room to spare.

Playing it well

• Cup ties between cautious sides can stall at 1–0 – avoid them even at tempting prices.
• Late kick-offs in low-scoring leagues carry more risk.
• Each league's over 1.5 rate is on our stats pages.

Betarazi slips only use senior matches from 11:00 WAT onwards. Once the first game kicks off the slip is locked, and it is graded on the score after 90 minutes. These are estimates, not promises – please only bet what you can afford to lose (18+).