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Wales U19 v Finland U19: numbers & prediction

UEFA U19 Championship Qualification · Europe · Rodney Parade
Wed 11 Nov 2026
Wales U19 38%Draw 21%Finland U19 41% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.38
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.37

7/10Rating
1.37Odds
2

Value bet: Finland U19 to win @ 2.83 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultFinland U19 to win41% · @2.83
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.79

Wales U19 vs Finland U19: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Wales U19 v Finland U19 in the UEFA U19 Championship Qualification, played at Rodney Parade.

Current form

Wales U19, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Northern Ireland U19, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Finland U19, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Germany U19, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Finland U19, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Wales U19.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wales U19 1.3 xG, Finland U19 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wales U19 38%, draw 21%, Finland U19 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Finland U19 to win @2.83 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wales U19 1–1 Finland U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wales U1938%fair 2.65 · @2.27
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.55
Finland U1941%fair 2.43 · @2.83
2.68Expected goals
1.30Wales U19 xG
1.38Finland U19 xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Wales U19 1.3 – 1.4 Finland U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFinland U19 to win41%2.432.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.57
Draw no betFinland U19 (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapWales U19 +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.11
First team to scoreFinland U19 to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Finland U19 / FT Finland U1923%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.79–

Recent results

Wales U19 – last 6

DLLLLL
5 Octvs Northern Ireland U190–0D
2 Octvs Norway U190–2L
29 Sep@ USA U190–2L
4 Jul@ Denmark U190–3L
1 Julvs Germany U190–4L
28 Junvs Spain U190–7L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Finland U19 – last 3

LWL
30 Sepvs Germany U191–2L
31 Mar@ Slovenia U191–0W
25 Marvs Netherlands U190–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wales U19 and Finland U19.

Wales U19 vs Finland U19 head-to-head page →

UEFA U19 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U193300+119
2Netherlands U193201+16
3Finland U193102-63
4Slovenia U193003-60

More UEFA U19 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wales U19 vs Finland U19?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Wales U19 vs Finland U19?

On our numbers Wales U19 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Finland U19 41%.

How many goals will there be in Wales U19 vs Finland U19?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wales U19 vs Finland U19?

Our predicted score is Wales U19 1–1 Finland U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Wales U19 vs Finland U19?

Wales U19 vs Finland U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.