Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.32 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndia to win ✓75% · @1.07
Double chanceIndia or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.32
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
India vs Maldives: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: India v Maldives in the SAFF Championship, played at Bangabandhu National Stadium. In the table, India are 2nd on 3 points after 1 matches; Maldives are 3rd with 0. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
India, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Uruguay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Maldives, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Lebanon, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give India 2.8 xG, Maldives 0.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – India 75%, draw 17%, Maldives 8%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.32.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: India 3–0 Maldives. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
India75%fair 1.33 · @1.07
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @8.20
Maldives8%fair 12.36 · @15.50
3.75Expected goals
2.82India xG
0.93Maldives xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
4–06%
From our goals model: India 2.8 – 0.9 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
India to win✓
75%
1.33
1.07
Double chance
India or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.32 ▲
Draw no bet
India (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
India -1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.87
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
First team to score
India to score first✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
India ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT India / FT India✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
India – last 6
LLDDLL
6 Oct
vs Uruguay
1–6
L
3 Oct
vs Brazil
0–4
L
25 Sep
vs Panama
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Tajikistan
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Tajikistan
1–3
L
27 May
@ Jamaica
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maldives – last 6
LLLDLW
1 Oct
vs Lebanon
0–6
L
28 Sep
@ Kyrgyzstan
0–5
L
24 Sep
@ China
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Pakistan
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Timor-Leste
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between India and Maldives.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win India vs Maldives?
On our numbers India have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Maldives 8%.
How many goals will there be in India vs Maldives?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for India vs Maldives?
Our predicted score is India 3–0 Maldives, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is India vs Maldives?
India vs Maldives (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bangladesh4
Sri Lanka0