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Italy U19 v Romania U19: numbers & prediction

UEFA U19 Championship Qualification · Europe · Stadio del Conero
1–0
74'
Italy U19 69%Draw 20%Romania U19 11% Expected goals 2.53 – 1.00
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultItaly U19 to win69% · @1.46
Double chanceItaly U19 or draw89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.11
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.67

Italy U19 vs Romania U19: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Romania U19 travel to face Italy U19 on Wednesday 11 November in the UEFA U19 Championship Qualification, with Stadio del Conero the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Italy U19 are 1st on 7 points after 3 matches; Romania U19 are 4th with 2.

Current form

Italy U19, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Croatia U19, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Romania U19, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bulgaria U19, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Italy U19, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Romania U19.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Italy U19 2.5 xG, Romania U19 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Italy U19 69%, draw 20%, Romania U19 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.11.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Italy U19 2–0 Romania U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Italy U1969%fair 1.45 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.10
Romania U1911%fair 9.04 · @6.85
3.53Expected goals
2.53Italy U19 xG
1.00Romania U19 xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Italy U19 2.5 – 1.0 Romania U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultItaly U19 to win69%1.451.46
Double chanceItaly U19 or draw89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.792.11 ▲
Draw no betItaly U19 (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapItaly U19 -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.98 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.591.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals79%1.261.05
First team to scoreItaly U19 to score first70%1.44–
Half-time resultItaly U19 ahead at half-time53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Italy U19 / FT Italy U1948%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.67–

Recent results

Italy U19 – last 6

WDLDWD
1 Oct@ Croatia U191–0W
8 Jul@ Denmark U190–0D
5 Jul@ Ukraine U190–1L
2 Jul@ Croatia U190–0D
29 Junvs Serbia U192–0W
31 Mar@ Turkey U191–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Romania U19 – last 4

WLDL
29 Sep@ Bulgaria U191–0W
24 Sepvs Hungary U191–2L
31 Marvs Ukraine U191–1D
25 Mar@ Kazakhstan U190–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Italy U19 and Romania U19.

Italy U19 vs Romania U19 head-to-head page →

UEFA U19 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine U193210+47
2Northern Ireland U19311104
3Kazakhstan U193102-23
4Romania U193021-22

More UEFA U19 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Italy U19 vs Romania U19?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Italy U19 vs Romania U19?

On our numbers Italy U19 have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Romania U19 11%.

How many goals will there be in Italy U19 vs Romania U19?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Italy U19 vs Romania U19?

Our predicted score is Italy U19 2–0 Romania U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Italy U19 vs Romania U19?

Italy U19 vs Romania U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.