Malmö FF W 47%Draw 23%Ajax W 29%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.19
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Malmö FF W to win @ 2.26 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMalmö FF W to win47% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.35
Malmö FF W vs Ajax W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ajax W travel to face Malmö FF W on Wednesday 11 November in the UEFA Europa Cup Women, with Eleda Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Malmö FF W, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Piteå W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ajax W, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Twente W, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Malmö FF W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Ajax W.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Oct 2026) it ended Ajax W 1–2 Malmö FF W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malmö FF W 1.8 xG, Ajax W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malmö FF W 47%, draw 23%, Ajax W 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.49.
Price worth noting: Malmö FF W to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malmö FF W 1–1 Ajax W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malmö FF W47%fair 2.12 · @2.26
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.58
Ajax W29%fair 3.39 · @2.56
2.96Expected goals
1.77Malmö FF W xG
1.19Ajax W xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Malmö FF W 1.8 – 1.2 Ajax W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Malmö FF W
Ajax W
Attack vs UEFA Europa Cup Women average
+17%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.71
0.95
Our own ratings from every UEFA Europa Cup Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
On our numbers Malmö FF W have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ajax W 29%.
How many goals will there be in Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Our predicted score is Malmö FF W 1–1 Ajax W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Malmö FF W vs Ajax W (UEFA Europa Cup Women) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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