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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers
For experienced punters

Value bets tomorrow

Prices that look too long: our numbers give these outcomes a clearly better chance than the bookmaker does. Expect a lower hit rate and bigger odds – this is a long-run approach with small stakes.

SpainCopa Del Rey2 matchesTable ›

Tarancón Levante 114%20.00X18%9.30268%1.09 1.1–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@2.15
Navalcarnero Real Betis 116%15.00X19%8.00266%1.14 1.2–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.91

AfricaAfrica Cup Of Nations Qualification3 matchesTable ›

Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06232%3.77 1.3–1.1xG 2Zimbabwe to win 32%@3.77
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06250%2.32 0.9–1.4xG 2Guinea-Bissau to win 50%@2.32
Benin Central African Republic 161%1.56X21%3.65218%6.09 1.7–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.28

EuropeUEFA Nations League5 matchesTable ›

Armenia Cyprus 137%2.30X27%3.25236%3.25 1.1–1.2xG 2Cyprus to win 36%@3.25
Albania Finland 144%1.90X26%3.40230%4.33 1.3–1.3xG 2Finland to win 30%@4.33
Montenegro Latvia 163%1.30X22%5.50215%9.50 1.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.38
Czechia Spain 110%13.00X17%8.00274%1.18 0.9–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00
England Croatia 177%1.22X15%7.0028%11.00 3.1–1.0xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 51%@2.10

BoliviaCopa De La División Profesional1 matchTable ›

Independiente Petrolero Always Ready 144%3.60X17%4.00239%1.70 2.4–1.6xG 1Independiente Petrolero to win 44%@3.60

MexicoLiga MX Femenil2 matchesTable ›

América W Toluca W 178%1.14X12%8.50210%11.00 3.4–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.80
Pachuca W Monterrey W 127%2.88X20%3.50253%2.10 1.5–2.2xG 2Monterrey W to win 53%@2.10

WorldFriendlies7 matchesTable ›

New Zealand India 175%1.27X17%4.7528%9.00 2.5–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 141%2.65X25%3.04234%2.41 1.7–1.4xG 1Thailand U23 to win 41%@2.65
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 19%12.25X18%4.90274%1.20 0.4–1.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 53%@2.15
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 125%2.88X21%3.46254%2.06 1.3–2.0xG 2Ukraine U21 to win 54%@2.06
Uzbekistan Russia 130%3.70X25%3.34245%1.98 1.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.92
Lithuania Suriname 130%2.62X38%3.10232%2.40 1.1–1.2xG XDraw 38%@3.10
Malta Eswatini 165%1.50X21%4.20213%4.75 1.8–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.20

EgyptSecond League3 matchesTable ›

Masar Tersana 145%2.08X27%2.81228%3.50 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.01
Dayrout Proxy 122%4.10X28%2.96249%1.85 0.9–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.09
Mega Sport El Seka El Hadid 124%3.62X26%2.91250%1.99 1.0–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.96

WorldCAF U23 Cup Of Nations1 matchTable ›

Tunisia U23 Gabon U23 162%1.46X21%3.94217%5.88 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.92

North & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations League3 matchesTable ›

Cayman Islands Guyana 19%35.00X13%15.50278%1.01 0.8–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.55
Barbados Guadeloupe 144%2.90X23%3.58234%2.20 1.8–1.3xG 1Barbados to win 44%@2.90
Bonaire Cuba 115%23.00X16%10.20269%1.06 1.3–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.28

ColombiaPrimera A3 matchesTable ›

Millonarios Alianza Valledupar 171%1.28X19%5.25210%11.00 2.1–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.20
Atletico Nacional Once Caldas 150%2.20X25%3.30225%3.20 1.7–1.0xG 1Atletico Nacional to win 50%@2.20
Deportivo Cali Deportes Tolima 149%2.20X27%3.10224%3.30 1.4–0.7xG 1Deportivo Cali to win 49%@2.20

El-SalvadorPrimera Division1 matchTable ›

Águila Municipal Limeño 158%1.52X21%3.74221%5.10 2.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.68

Tomorrow's value bets at a glance

31 value bets at an average price of 2.39, with an average edge of 16% over the bookmaker. The biggest: Independiente Petrolero vs Always Ready – Independiente Petrolero to win at 3.60, where we rate the chance at 44% against the 28% the price implies. 1 are draws, the outcome bookmakers most often price too long.

At odds of 2.39 you need to win about 42% of bets just to break even. Over the last 30 days our value bets won 1,487 of 3,358 (44%). That is why value betting is judged over hundreds of bets, not one day.

Staking value bets

  • Keep each stake small and the same – around 1–2% of your betting bank.
  • Value bets work best as singles; stacking them in one slip multiplies the risk.
  • Check the price before you bet: if it has dropped below our fair odds, the value has gone.
  • Expect losing runs. A 35% hit rate means losing five in a row happens regularly.

What makes a value spot

Odds are chances in disguise: 2.50 means the bookmaker thinks roughly 40% (100 ÷ 2.50), with their margin on top. If our ratings put the same outcome at 46% or higher, the price is too generous – and backing generous prices consistently is how value betting pays over time.

Value bets are listed separately from our main predictions because they lose more often. The results record tracks both, so you can see how each performs.

Frequently asked questions

What makes a value bet?

Our chance must be at least 6% higher than the chance implied by the bookmaker's odds (chance × odds ≥ 1.06), at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.

Will value bets win more often?

No – they win less often than our main picks, because the prices are bigger. The aim is a profit over many bets, not a win every time. Stake small and stay consistent.

Why do draws appear here?

Draws are often under-priced by bookmakers in close games. When our numbers rate a draw clearly higher than its price, it shows up as value.