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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Armenia v Cyprus: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Armenia

DLLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Cyprus

WWDLW
Armenia 37%Draw 27%Cyprus 36% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.19
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Cyprus to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultArmenia to win37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.76

Armenia vs Cyprus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Armenia v Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League, played at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. In the table, Armenia are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Cyprus are 2nd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Armenia, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Montenegro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cyprus, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Latvia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cyprus, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Armenia.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Cyprus 2–0 Armenia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Armenia 1.1 xG, Cyprus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Armenia 37%, draw 27%, Cyprus 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Cyprus to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Armenia37%fair 2.71 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.25
Cyprus36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
2.29Expected goals
1.10Armenia xG
1.19Cyprus xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Armenia 1.1 – 1.2 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ArmeniaCyprus
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-6%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-1%-14%
Our expected goals here0.981.25

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArmenia to win37%2.712.30
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.381.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%2.001.83
Draw no betArmenia (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapArmenia +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.761.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.08
First team to scoreCyprus to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cyprus / FT Cyprus22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17%13.76–

Recent results

Armenia – last 6

DLLWDD
5 Oct@ Montenegro0–0D
2 Oct@ Cyprus0–2L
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cyprus – last 6

WWDLWD
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Cyprus v Armenia2–0
Armenia vs Cyprus head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Türkiye Belgium 120%3.90X21%4.10258%1.80 1.0–2.0xG X2Belgium or draw 80%@1.25
Italy France 121%4.33X25%4.00254%1.75 1.1–1.7xG X2France or draw 79%@1.20
Czechia Spain 110%13.00X17%8.00274%1.18 0.9–2.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44
England Croatia 177%1.22X15%7.0028%11.00 3.1–1.0xG 1England to win 77%@1.22
Albania Finland 144%1.90X26%3.40230%4.33 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22
San Marino Belarus 17%13.00X14%8.50278%1.14 0.6–2.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20
Montenegro Latvia 163%1.30X22%5.50215%9.50 1.7–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

On our numbers Armenia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cyprus 36%.

How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our predicted score is Armenia 1–1 Cyprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.