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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Czechia v Spain: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stadion Letná

Czechia

LLLLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Spain

WWWWD
Czechia 10%Draw 17%Spain 74% Expected goals 0.87 – 2.47
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSpain to win74% · @1.18
Double chanceSpain or draw90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.64

Czechia vs Spain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Czechia welcome Spain to Stadion Letná for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 12 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Czechia are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Spain are 1st with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Czechia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to England, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Spain, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Croatia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Czechia.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Spain 3–1 Czechia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Czechia 0.9 xG, Spain 2.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Czechia 10%, draw 17%, Spain 74%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Czechia 1–2 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Czechia10%fair 10.17 · @13.00
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @8.00
Spain74%fair 1.36 · @1.18
3.34Expected goals
0.87Czechia xG
2.47Spain xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–19%
1–38%
1–18%

From our goals model: Czechia 0.9 – 2.5 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CzechiaSpain
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-29%+45%
Goals conceded vs average+25%-0%
Our expected goals here0.872.24

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win74%1.361.18
Double chanceSpain or draw90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betSpain (draw no bet)88%1.13–
Asian handicapSpain -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.181.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.541.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.771.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals74%1.341.28
First team to scoreSpain to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultSpain ahead at half-time53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.64–

Recent results

Czechia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ England0–3L
3 Oct@ Spain1–3L
29 Sepvs England0–2L
26 Sepvs Croatia1–2L
25 Junvs Mexico0–3L
18 Junvs South Africa1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spain – last 6

WWWWDW
6 Oct@ Croatia2–1W
3 Octvs Czechia3–1W
29 Sepvs Croatia4–1W
26 Sep@ England3–2W
19 Julvs Argentina0–0D
14 Jul@ France2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Spain v Czechia3–1
Czechia vs Spain head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain4400+712
2England4301+119
3Croatia4103-103
4Czechia4004-80

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czechia vs Spain?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Czechia vs Spain?

On our numbers Czechia have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Spain 74%.

How many goals will there be in Czechia vs Spain?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Spain?

Our predicted score is Czechia 1–2 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Czechia vs Spain?

Czechia vs Spain (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.