Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSpain to win74% · @1.18
Double chanceSpain or draw90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.64
Czechia vs Spain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Czechia welcome Spain to Stadion Letná for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Thursday 12 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Czechia are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Spain are 1st with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Czechia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to England, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Spain, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Croatia, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Czechia.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Spain 3–1 Czechia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Czechia 0.9 xG, Spain 2.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Czechia 10%, draw 17%, Spain 74%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Czechia 1–2 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Czechia10%fair 10.17 · @13.00
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @8.00
Spain74%fair 1.36 · @1.18
3.34Expected goals
0.87Czechia xG
2.47Spain xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–19%
1–38%
1–18%
From our goals model: Czechia 0.9 – 2.5 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Czechia
Spain
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-29%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
-0%
Our expected goals here
0.87
2.24
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Czechia vs Spain?
On our numbers Czechia have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Spain 74%.
How many goals will there be in Czechia vs Spain?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Spain?
Our predicted score is Czechia 1–2 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Czechia vs Spain?
Czechia vs Spain (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.