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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Türkiye v Belgium: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Gürsel Aksel Stadium

Türkiye

LLLLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Belgium

LWLWL
Türkiye 20%Draw 21%Belgium 58% Expected goals 1.03 – 2.02
80%
Betarazi pick

Belgium or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelgium to win58% · @1.80
Double chanceBelgium or draw80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.05

Türkiye vs Belgium: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 12 November the UEFA Nations League brings Türkiye against Belgium at Gürsel Aksel Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Türkiye are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Belgium are 3rd with 6.

Current form

Türkiye, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Italy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Belgium, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to France, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Belgium, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Türkiye.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Belgium 3–0 Türkiye.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Türkiye 1.0 xG, Belgium 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Türkiye 20%, draw 21%, Belgium 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belgium or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Belgium or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Türkiye 1–2 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Türkiye20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.10
Belgium58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
3.05Expected goals
1.03Türkiye xG
2.02Belgium xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–210%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Türkiye 1.0 – 2.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TürkiyeBelgium
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-25%+12%
Goals conceded vs average+48%+0%
Our expected goals here0.922.04

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win58%1.721.80
Double chanceBelgium or draw80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.50
Draw no betBelgium (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapBelgium -0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.651.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.281.25
First team to scoreBelgium to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultBelgium ahead at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.05–

Recent results

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Belgium – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Oct@ France1–4L
2 Octvs Türkiye3–0W
28 Sepvs France0–1L
25 Sep@ Italy2–0W
10 Jul@ Spain1–2L
7 Jul@ USA4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Belgium v Türkiye3–0
Türkiye vs Belgium head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Armenia Cyprus 137%2.30X27%3.25236%3.25 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28
Italy France 121%4.33X25%4.00254%1.75 1.1–1.7xG X2France or draw 79%@1.20
Czechia Spain 110%13.00X17%8.00274%1.18 0.9–2.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44
England Croatia 177%1.22X15%7.0028%11.00 3.1–1.0xG 1England to win 77%@1.22
Albania Finland 144%1.90X26%3.40230%4.33 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22
San Marino Belarus 17%13.00X14%8.50278%1.14 0.6–2.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20
Montenegro Latvia 163%1.30X22%5.50215%9.50 1.7–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our pick is Belgium or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?

On our numbers Türkiye have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Belgium 58%.

How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Belgium?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our predicted score is Türkiye 1–2 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Türkiye vs Belgium?

Türkiye vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gürsel Aksel Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.