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Pachuca W v Monterrey W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Pachuca W 25%Draw 20%Monterrey W 55% Expected goals 1.44 – 2.22
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey W to win55% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.96

Pachuca W vs Monterrey W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 12 November the Liga MX Femenil brings Pachuca W against Monterrey W at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Pachuca W are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Monterrey W are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Pachuca W, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Puebla W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Monterrey W, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juárez W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Monterrey W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Pachuca W.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Monterrey W 4–1 Pachuca W. The last 3 head-to-heads: Pachuca W 1 win, Monterrey W 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca W 1.4 xG, Monterrey W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca W 25%, draw 20%, Monterrey W 55%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca W 1–2 Monterrey W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pachuca W25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Monterrey W55%fair 1.82 · @1.90
3.66Expected goals
1.44Pachuca W xG
2.22Monterrey W xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Pachuca W 1.4 – 2.2 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Pachuca WMonterrey W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average+19%+67%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-34%
Our expected goals here1.462.28

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey W to win55%1.821.90
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.53
Draw no betMonterrey W (draw no bet)68%1.46–
Asian handicapPachuca W +1.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.531.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.801.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.371.22
First team to scoreMonterrey W to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultMonterrey W ahead at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.96–

Recent results

Pachuca W – last 6

WWWLLW
7 Novvs Puebla W4–3W
1 Nov@ Querétaro W5–0W
25 Octvs Necaxa W5–0W
19 Oct@ América W1–2L
5 Octvs Toluca W1–2L
27 Sepvs Santos Laguna W4–1W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Monterrey W – last 6

WWDWWW
7 Nov@ Juárez W2–1W
31 Octvs Pumas UNAM W6–0W
26 Oct@ Tigres UANL W2–2D
18 Octvs Cruz Azul W1–0W
3 Octvs América W4–3W
27 Sep@ Puebla W2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Monterrey W v Pachuca W4–1
8 May 2026Pachuca W v Monterrey W2–0
28 Mar 2026Pachuca W v Monterrey W0–1
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pachuca W vs Monterrey W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Pachuca W vs Monterrey W?

On our numbers Pachuca W have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monterrey W 55%.

How many goals will there be in Pachuca W vs Monterrey W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pachuca W vs Monterrey W?

Our predicted score is Pachuca W 1–2 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Pachuca W vs Monterrey W?

Pachuca W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.