Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win71% · @1.28
Double chanceMillonarios or draw90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.84
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 November the Primera A brings Millonarios against Alianza Valledupar. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Millonarios, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportes Tolima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Llaneros, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 2.1 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 71%, draw 19%, Alianza Valledupar 10%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 2–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millonarios71%fair 1.41 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @5.25
Alianza Valledupar10%fair 9.90 · @11.00
2.74Expected goals
2.07Millonarios xG
0.66Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: Millonarios 2.1 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average
+17%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.10
0.70
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win
71%
1.41
1.28
Double chance
Millonarios or draw
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Millonarios -1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Millonarios to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 6
LDDWDD
9 Nov
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
5 Nov
vs America de Cali
0–0
D
21 Oct
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Jaguares
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLLWWD
9 Nov
vs Llaneros
1–2
L
2 Nov
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Valledupar 10%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 2–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
