Value bet: Deportivo Cali to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cali to win49% · @2.20
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.15
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 November the Primera A brings Deportivo Cali against Deportes Tolima at Estadio Deportivo Cali. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cali are 3rd, among the top four, on 34 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Deportivo Cali, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America de Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Cali, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Deportes Tolima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cali 1.4 xG, Deportes Tolima 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cali 49%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 24%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cali or draw (76%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Cali to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Deportivo Cali or draw (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cali49%fair 2.06 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Deportes Tolima24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
2.17Expected goals
1.42Deportivo Cali xG
0.75Deportes Tolima xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cali 1.4 – 0.7 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
+5%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-47%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.57
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cali to win
49%
2.06
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Cali or draw
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.82
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cali (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
Deportivo Cali to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.15
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cali – last 6
DWDWDD
8 Nov
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
2 Nov
vs Chico
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
22 Oct
@ Llaneros
3–0
W
19 Oct
vs Junior
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WWLLLD
9 Nov
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–1
W
26 Oct
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Jaguares
2–3
L
9 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Deportivo Cali or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Deportivo Cali have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportes Tolima 24%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Deportivo Cali.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
