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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Pasto v Junior: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Departamental Libertad

Deportivo Pasto

LLWLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Junior

WLDWD
Deportivo Pasto 13%Draw 19%Junior 68% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.95
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win68% · @1.11
Double chanceJunior or draw87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.05

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Junior travel to face Deportivo Pasto on Thursday 12 November in the Primera A, with Estadio Departamental Libertad the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Deportivo Pasto, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Santa Fe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Junior, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cucuta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Junior, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Pasto.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.0 xG, Junior 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 13%, draw 19%, Junior 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Pasto13%fair 7.51 · @23.00
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @8.00
Junior68%fair 1.48 · @1.11
2.96Expected goals
1.01Deportivo Pasto xG
1.95Junior xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.0 – 2.0 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo PastoJunior
Attack vs Primera A average-29%+13%
Goals conceded vs average+22%+7%
Our expected goals here1.121.46

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win68%1.481.11
Double chanceJunior or draw87%1.151.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.80
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet)84%1.20–
Asian handicapDeportivo Pasto +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.541.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.441.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.10
First team to scoreJunior to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultJunior ahead at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.05–

Recent results

Deportivo Pasto – last 6

LLWLLD
8 Nov@ Santa Fe0–5L
31 Oct@ Bucaramanga1–2L
26 Oct@ Deportes Tolima1–0W
23 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–3L
20 Octvs Alianza Valledupar0–1L
4 Octvs Fortaleza FC0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Junior – last 6

WLDWDD
10 Novvs Cucuta2–0W
1 Nov@ Llaneros2–3L
28 Oct@ Chico1–1D
24 Octvs Águilas Doradas1–0W
19 Oct@ Deportivo Cali0–0D
14 Octvs Deportivo Pereira1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Junior v Deportivo Pasto4–3
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
Águilas Doradas Independiente Medellin 142%2.40X26%3.30232%2.90 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28
Atletico Nacional Once Caldas 150%2.20X25%3.30225%3.20 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20
Cucuta Jaguares 160%1.64X23%3.76216%4.75 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.21
Deportivo Cali Deportes Tolima 149%2.20X27%3.10224%3.30 1.4–0.7xG 1XDeportivo Cali or draw 76%@1.28
Internacional de Bogota Santa Fe 133%2.92X26%3.22241%2.31 1.3–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.35
Llaneros Chico 162%1.57X24%3.80214%6.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30
Millonarios Alianza Valledupar 171%1.28X19%5.25210%11.00 2.1–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22
Deportivo Pereira America de Cali 118%4.75X25%3.60256%1.75 0.8–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Junior 68%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.