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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Llaneros v Chico: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros

WWLLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Chico

WLDWL
Llaneros 62%Draw 24%Chico 14% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.73
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLlaneros to win62% · @1.57
Double chanceLlaneros or draw86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.72

Llaneros vs Chico: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Llaneros v Chico in the Primera A, played at Estadio Bello Horizonte. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Chico are 15th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Llaneros, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alianza Valledupar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Chico, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Internacional de Bogota, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 May 2026) it ended Chico 0–1 Llaneros.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.7 xG, Chico 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 62%, draw 24%, Chico 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–0 Chico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llaneros62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.80
Chico14%fair 7.06 · @6.00
2.45Expected goals
1.72Llaneros xG
0.73Chico xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Llaneros 1.7 – 0.7 Chico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LlanerosChico
Attack vs Primera A average-8%-30%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+21%
Our expected goals here1.650.76

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLlaneros to win62%1.621.57
Double chanceLlaneros or draw86%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.931.91
Draw no betLlaneros (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapLlaneros -0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.10
First team to scoreLlaneros to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Llaneros / FT Llaneros38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.72–

Recent results

Llaneros – last 6

WWLLWL
9 Nov@ Alianza Valledupar2–1W
1 Novvs Junior3–2W
27 Oct@ Jaguares0–1L
22 Octvs Deportivo Cali0–3L
19 Octvs Santa Fe1–0W
16 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chico – last 6

WLDWLL
7 Novvs Internacional de Bogota2–1W
2 Nov@ Deportivo Cali0–2L
28 Octvs Junior1–1D
24 Octvs Bucaramanga1–0W
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pereira0–2L
17 Octvs Atletico Nacional1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 May 2026Chico v Llaneros0–1
Llaneros vs Chico head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
Águilas Doradas Independiente Medellin 142%2.40X26%3.30232%2.90 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28
Atletico Nacional Once Caldas 150%2.20X25%3.30225%3.20 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20
Cucuta Jaguares 160%1.64X23%3.76216%4.75 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.21
Deportivo Cali Deportes Tolima 149%2.20X27%3.10224%3.30 1.4–0.7xG 1XDeportivo Cali or draw 76%@1.28
Deportivo Pasto Junior 113%23.00X19%8.00268%1.11 1.0–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30
Internacional de Bogota Santa Fe 133%2.92X26%3.22241%2.31 1.3–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.35
Millonarios Alianza Valledupar 171%1.28X19%5.25210%11.00 2.1–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22
Deportivo Pereira America de Cali 118%4.75X25%3.60256%1.75 0.8–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Chico?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Llaneros vs Chico?

On our numbers Llaneros have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chico 14%.

How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Chico?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Chico?

Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–0 Chico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Llaneros vs Chico?

Llaneros vs Chico (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.