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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malta v Eswatini: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

Malta

WDWWW
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Malta 65%Draw 21%Eswatini 13% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.63
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMalta to win65% · @1.50
Double chanceMalta or draw87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.16

Malta vs Eswatini: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 12 November the Friendlies brings Malta against Eswatini. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Malta, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Andorra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malta 1.8 xG, Eswatini 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malta 65%, draw 21%, Eswatini 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Malta or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malta 1–0 Eswatini. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malta65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.20
Eswatini13%fair 7.44 · @4.75
2.40Expected goals
1.77Malta xG
0.63Eswatini xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Malta 1.8 – 0.6 Eswatini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalta to win65%1.531.50
Double chanceMalta or draw87%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.962.20 ▲
Draw no betMalta (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapMalta -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.08
First team to scoreMalta to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultMalta ahead at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malta / FT Malta41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.16–

Recent results

Malta – last 6

WDWWWL
4 Octvs Andorra1–0W
1 Octvs Gibraltar1–1D
27 Sepvs Liechtenstein2–0W
24 Sep@ Andorra2–1W
5 Jun@ Azerbaijan2–0W
1 Jun@ Slovakia1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Eswatini – last 2

LL
31 Marvs Eritrea1–2L
25 Mar@ Eritrea0–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Malta and Eswatini.

Malta vs Eswatini head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malta vs Eswatini?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Malta vs Eswatini?

On our numbers Malta have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eswatini 13%.

How many goals will there be in Malta vs Eswatini?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malta vs Eswatini?

Our predicted score is Malta 1–0 Eswatini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Malta vs Eswatini?

Malta vs Eswatini (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.