Malta 65%Draw 21%Eswatini 13%Expected goals 1.77 – 0.63
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMalta to win65% · @1.50
Double chanceMalta or draw87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.16
Malta vs Eswatini: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 November the Friendlies brings Malta against Eswatini. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Malta, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Andorra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malta 1.8 xG, Eswatini 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malta 65%, draw 21%, Eswatini 13%.
Lower-risk option: Malta or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malta 1–0 Eswatini. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malta65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.20
Eswatini13%fair 7.44 · @4.75
2.40Expected goals
1.77Malta xG
0.63Eswatini xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Malta 1.8 – 0.6 Eswatini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malta to win
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Malta or draw
87%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Malta (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Malta -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Malta to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Malta ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malta / FT Malta
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Malta – last 6
WDWWWL
4 Oct
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Oct
vs Gibraltar
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Liechtenstein
2–0
W
24 Sep
@ Andorra
2–1
W
5 Jun
@ Azerbaijan
2–0
W
1 Jun
@ Slovakia
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Eswatini – last 2
LL
31 Mar
vs Eritrea
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Eritrea
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malta and Eswatini.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malta vs Eswatini?
On our numbers Malta have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Eswatini 13%.
How many goals will there be in Malta vs Eswatini?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malta vs Eswatini?
Our predicted score is Malta 1–0 Eswatini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Malta vs Eswatini?
Malta vs Eswatini (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.