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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lithuania v Suriname: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

Lithuania

LWDWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Suriname

LDWWL
Lithuania 30%Draw 38%Suriname 32% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.17
70%
Betarazi pick

Suriname or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw38% · @3.10
Double chanceSuriname or draw70% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–113% · fair 7.55

Lithuania vs Suriname: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 12 November the Friendlies brings Lithuania against Suriname. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Lithuania, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Azerbaijan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Suriname, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guatemala, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lithuania 1.1 xG, Suriname 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lithuania 30%, draw 38%, Suriname 32%.
  • Lower-risk option: Suriname or draw (70%) at 1.40.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Suriname or draw (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lithuania 1–1 Suriname. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lithuania30%fair 3.31 · @2.62
Draw38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
Suriname32%fair 3.11 · @2.40
2.31Expected goals
1.13Lithuania xG
1.17Suriname xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lithuania 1.1 – 1.2 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw38%2.653.10 ▲
Double chanceSuriname or draw70%1.431.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betSuriname (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapLithuania +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.091.05
First team to scoreSuriname to score first46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suriname / FT Suriname21%4.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–113%7.55–

Recent results

Lithuania – last 6

LWDWLW
4 Oct@ Azerbaijan0–1L
30 Sepvs Andorra3–0W
27 Sepvs Azerbaijan1–1D
24 Sep@ Liechtenstein2–0W
29 Marvs Georgia0–2L
26 Mar@ Moldova2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Suriname – last 5

LDWWL
6 Oct@ Guatemala0–1L
2 Octvs Guatemala0–0D
28 Sepvs Martinique2–1W
26 Sep@ Honduras3–2W
26 Mar@ Bolivia1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Suriname.

Lithuania vs Suriname head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
New Zealand India 174%1.28X17%4.7528%8.50 2.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 141%2.65X25%3.04234%2.41 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 19%12.25X18%4.90274%1.20 0.4–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.46
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 125%2.88X21%3.46254%2.06 1.3–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.56
Uzbekistan Russia 130%3.70X25%3.34245%1.98 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.34
Malta Eswatini 165%1.50X21%4.20213%4.75 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Suriname?

Our pick is Suriname or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Lithuania vs Suriname?

On our numbers Lithuania have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Suriname 32%.

How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Suriname?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Suriname?

Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lithuania vs Suriname?

Lithuania vs Suriname (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.