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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Pinatar Arena

Scotland U21

WWLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Ukraine U21

DWDLW
Scotland U21 21%Draw 50%Ukraine U21 29% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.74
79%
Betarazi pick

Ukraine U21 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.46 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw50% · @3.46
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27% · fair 14.86

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21 in the Friendlies, played at Pinatar Arena.

Current form

Scotland U21, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bulgaria U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Ukraine U21, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Albania U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scotland U21 1.5 xG, Ukraine U21 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Scotland U21 21%, draw 50%, Ukraine U21 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ukraine U21 or draw (79%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.56.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.46 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Ukraine U21 or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scotland U21 1–1 Ukraine U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scotland U2121%fair 4.87 · @2.88
Draw50%fair 2.00 · @3.46
Ukraine U2129%fair 3.40 · @2.06
3.27Expected goals
1.53Scotland U21 xG
1.74Ukraine U21 xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Scotland U21 1.5 – 1.7 Ukraine U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw50%2.003.46 ▲
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.621.56
Draw no betUkraine U21 (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapScotland U21 +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.691.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.601.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.261.10
First team to scoreUkraine U21 to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ukraine U21 / FT Ukraine U2126%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27%14.86–

Recent results

Scotland U21 – last 4

WWLD
6 Oct@ Bulgaria U212–0W
30 Sepvs Azerbaijan U215–2W
31 Mar@ Portugal U210–3L
27 Marvs Czech Republic U210–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ukraine U21 – last 6

DWDLWD
5 Octvs Albania U212–2D
2 Octvs Croatia U211–0W
26 Sepvs Turkey U212–2D
8 Jun@ Japan U210–3L
31 Mar@ Hungary U212–1W
27 Marvs Lithuania U211–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Scotland U21 and Ukraine U21.

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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New Zealand India 175%1.27X17%4.7528%9.00 2.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 140%2.65X25%3.04235%2.41 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 19%12.25X18%4.90274%1.20 0.4–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.46
Uzbekistan Russia 130%3.70X25%3.34245%1.98 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.34
Lithuania Suriname 131%2.62X38%3.10232%2.40 1.1–1.2xG X2Suriname or draw 69%@1.40
Malta Eswatini 165%1.50X21%4.20213%4.75 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Our pick is Ukraine U21 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

On our numbers Scotland U21 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Ukraine U21 29%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Our predicted score is Scotland U21 1–1 Ukraine U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinatar Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.