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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uzbekistan v Russia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Pakhtakor Central Stadium

Uzbekistan

LWWLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Russia

DWWWW
Uzbekistan 30%Draw 25%Russia 45% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.65
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.34

8/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.92 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultRussia to win45% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.09

Uzbekistan vs Russia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Uzbekistan v Russia in the Friendlies, played at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Current form

Uzbekistan, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to South Korea, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Russia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Nigeria, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Russia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Uzbekistan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uzbekistan 1.4 xG, Russia 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uzbekistan 30%, draw 25%, Russia 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.92.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uzbekistan30%fair 3.35 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.34
Russia45%fair 2.20 · @1.98
3.05Expected goals
1.40Uzbekistan xG
1.65Russia xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.4 – 1.6 Russia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UzbekistanRussia
Attack vs Friendlies average+13%+33%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-18%
Our expected goals here1.601.68

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRussia to win45%2.201.98
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.741.92 ▲
Draw no betRussia (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapUzbekistan +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.962.17 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.421.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.02
First team to scoreRussia to score first51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Russia / FT Russia26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.09–

Recent results

Uzbekistan – last 6

LWWLLL
6 Oct@ South Korea0–2L
1 Octvs Syria4–1W
24 Sepvs Iran3–1W
28 Jun@ Congo DR1–3L
23 Jun@ Portugal0–5L
18 Junvs Colombia1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Russia – last 6

DWWWWL
6 Octvs Nigeria3–3D
3 Octvs Namibia6–0W
29 Sepvs Iran2–0W
9 Junvs Trinidad and Tobago3–0W
5 Junvs Burkina Faso3–0W
28 May@ Egypt0–1L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Russia.

Uzbekistan vs Russia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
New Zealand India 175%1.27X17%4.7528%9.00 2.5–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20
Thailand U23 Qatar U23 141%2.65X25%3.04234%2.41 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 19%12.25X18%4.90274%1.20 0.4–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.46
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 125%2.88X21%3.46254%2.06 1.3–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.56
Lithuania Suriname 130%2.62X38%3.10232%2.40 1.1–1.2xG X2Suriname or draw 70%@1.40
Malta Eswatini 165%1.50X21%4.20213%4.75 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?

On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Russia 45%.

How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Russia?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Uzbekistan vs Russia (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.