Value bet: Thailand U23 to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultThailand U23 to win41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.00
Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qatar U23 travel to face Thailand U23 on Thursday 12 November in the Friendlies, with Pleiku Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Thailand U23, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vietnam U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Qatar U23, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Singapore U23, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thailand U23 1.7 xG, Qatar U23 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thailand U23 41%, draw 25%, Qatar U23 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Thailand U23 to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thailand U23 1–1 Qatar U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thailand U2341%fair 2.47 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.04
Qatar U2334%fair 2.91 · @2.41
3.04Expected goals
1.66Thailand U23 xG
1.38Qatar U23 xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Thailand U23 1.7 – 1.4 Qatar U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Thailand U23
Qatar U23
Attack vs Friendlies average
-8%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+33%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.36
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thailand U23 to win
41%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.74
Draw no bet
Thailand U23 (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Qatar U23 +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.98
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.04
First team to score
Thailand U23 to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thailand U23 / FT Thailand U23
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Thailand U23 – last 6
LLLWWL
10 Nov
@ Vietnam U23
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ China PR U23
0–3
L
23 Sep
@ Japan U23
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Hong Kong U23
5–1
W
16 Sep
vs Kyrgyz Republic U23
3–2
W
9 Jun
vs UAE U23
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Qatar U23 – last 6
DLDWLL
10 Nov
vs Singapore U23
0–0
D
5 Nov
vs Al-Khor
0–3
L
28 Oct
vs Al-Markhiya
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ Muaither SC
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Saudi Arabia U23
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Korea Republic U23
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand U23 and Qatar U23.
What is the prediction for Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
On our numbers Thailand U23 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qatar U23 34%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
Our predicted score is Thailand U23 1–1 Qatar U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23?
Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23 (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Pleiku Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.