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Benin v Central African Republic: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Benin

LWDLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Central African Republic

LLLD
Benin 61%Draw 21%Central African Republic 18% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.75
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.28 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultBenin to win61% · @1.56
Double chanceBenin or draw82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.28
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.81

Benin vs Central African Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Benin v Central African Republic in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification. In the table, Benin are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Central African Republic are 4th with 3.

Current form

Benin, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Argentina, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Central African Republic, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Burkina Faso, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Benin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Central African Republic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Benin 1.7 xG, Central African Republic 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Benin 61%, draw 21%, Central African Republic 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.28.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benin 2–0 Central African Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Benin61%fair 1.64 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.65
Central African Republic18%fair 5.44 · @6.09
2.40Expected goals
1.65Benin xG
0.75Central African Republic xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Benin 1.7 – 0.7 Central African Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenin to win61%1.641.56
Double chanceBenin or draw82%1.231.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%1.992.28 ▲
Draw no betBenin (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapCentral African Republic +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.711.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreBenin to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benin / FT Benin36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.81–

Recent results

Benin – last 6

LWDLDW
7 Oct@ Argentina0–3L
29 Sepvs Mauritania2–1W
25 Sep@ Burkina Faso1–1D
9 Jun@ Togo1–5L
5 Junvs Niger1–1D
31 Mar@ Guinea1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Central African Republic – last 4

LLLD
28 Sepvs Burkina Faso0–1L
24 Sep@ Mauritania1–3L
9 Jun@ Angola0–3L
5 Junvs Togo1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Benin and Central African Republic.

Benin vs Central African Republic head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco6600+2418
2Gabon6312-210
3Lesotho6114-114
4Central African Republic6105-113

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia 177%1.05X17%10.2026%26.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.65
Congo DR Sierra Leone 172%1.20X17%5.75211%14.20 2.1–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06232%3.77 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48
Guinea Eritrea 174%1.12X18%7.2028%17.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06250%2.32 0.9–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41
Cameroon Namibia 170%1.24X19%5.05211%13.30 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20
Ivory Coast Gambia 174%1.18X16%6.2029%14.60 2.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.39
Senegal Sudan 177%1.07X16%8.9027%24.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benin vs Central African Republic?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Benin vs Central African Republic?

On our numbers Benin have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Central African Republic 18%.

How many goals will there be in Benin vs Central African Republic?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Benin vs Central African Republic?

Our predicted score is Benin 2–0 Central African Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Benin vs Central African Republic?

Benin vs Central African Republic (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.