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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Congo DR v Sierra Leone: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade des Martyrs

Congo DR

DLWWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Sierra Leone

LLLW
Congo DR 72%Draw 17%Sierra Leone 11% Expected goals 2.07 – 0.64
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultCongo DR to win72% · @1.20
Double chanceCongo DR or draw89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 10.18

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Congo DR welcome Sierra Leone to Stade des Martyrs for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Thursday 12 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Congo DR are 1st on 12 points after 6 matches; Sierra Leone are 3rd with 5.

Current form

Congo DR, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uganda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sierra Leone, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Equatorial Guinea, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Congo DR, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sierra Leone.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Congo DR 2.1 xG, Sierra Leone 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Congo DR 72%, draw 17%, Sierra Leone 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.39.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Congo DR 2–0 Sierra Leone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Congo DR72%fair 1.40 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @5.75
Sierra Leone11%fair 8.94 · @14.20
2.71Expected goals
2.07Congo DR xG
0.64Sierra Leone xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Congo DR 2.1 – 0.6 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCongo DR to win72%1.401.20
Double chanceCongo DR or draw89%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.39
Draw no betCongo DR (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapCongo DR -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.981.86
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.171.07
First team to scoreCongo DR to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultCongo DR ahead at half-time50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Congo DR / FT Congo DR46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%10.18–

Recent results

Congo DR – last 6

DLWWLW
5 Oct@ Uganda1–1D
2 Octvs Uganda0–2L
28 Sep@ Zimbabwe2–1W
24 Sepvs Equatorial Guinea2–0W
1 Jul@ England1–2L
28 Junvs Uzbekistan3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sierra Leone – last 4

LLLW
28 Sep@ Equatorial Guinea0–1L
24 Sepvs Zimbabwe2–3L
9 Jun@ Liberia1–3L
6 Junvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Sierra Leone.

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia6411+313
2Ivory Coast6402+912
3Sierra Leone6123-55
4Chad6033-73

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia 177%1.05X17%10.2026%26.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.65
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06232%3.77 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48
Guinea Eritrea 174%1.12X18%7.2028%17.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06250%2.32 0.9–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic 161%1.56X21%3.65218%6.09 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.38
Cameroon Namibia 170%1.24X19%5.05211%13.30 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20
Ivory Coast Gambia 174%1.18X16%6.2029%14.60 2.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.39
Senegal Sudan 177%1.07X16%8.9027%24.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

On our numbers Congo DR have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sierra Leone 11%.

How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our predicted score is Congo DR 2–0 Sierra Leone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Martyrs.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.