Senegal v Sudan Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSenegal to win77% · @1.07

Double chanceSenegal or draw93% · @1.01

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.41

GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.09

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.30

Senegal vs Sudan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Senegal welcome Sudan to Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Thursday 12 November (20:00 WAT). In the table, Senegal are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Sudan are 2nd with 8.

Current form

Senegal, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comoros, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Senegal 2.3 xG, Sudan 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Senegal 77%, draw 16%, Sudan 7%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.41.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Senegal 2–0 Sudan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Senegal77%fair 1.30 · @1.07

Draw16%fair 6.17 · @8.90

Sudan7%fair 14.99 · @24.00

2.77Expected goals

2.26Senegal xG

0.51Sudan xG

46%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%

1–014%

3–012%

2–18%

1–17%

4–07%

From our goals model: Senegal 2.3 – 0.5 Sudan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Senegal to win	77%	1.30	1.07
Double chance	Senegal or draw	93%	1.07	1.01
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	54%	1.85	1.41
Draw no bet	Senegal (draw no bet)	92%	1.09	–
Asian handicap	Senegal -1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.26	1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.73	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.57	1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	80%	1.25	1.22
First team to score	Senegal to score first	76%	1.31	–
Half-time result	Senegal ahead at half-time	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Senegal / FT Senegal	52%	1.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0	12%	8.30	–

Senegal – last 6

WWDDWL

4 Oct	@ Comoros	1–0	W
29 Sep	@ Ethiopia	1–0	W
25 Sep	@ Mozambique	1–1	D
1 Jul	@ Belgium	2–2	D
26 Jun	vs Iraq	5–0	W
23 Jun	@ Norway	2–3	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sudan – last 2

29 Sep	@ Mozambique	1–4	L
25 Sep	vs Ethiopia	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	-2	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	+1	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	-4	3

Team

Pts

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Senegal vs Sudan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.

Who will win Senegal vs Sudan?

On our numbers Senegal have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sudan 7%.

How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Sudan?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Sudan?

Our predicted score is Senegal 2–0 Sudan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Senegal vs Sudan?

Senegal vs Sudan (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Senegal v Sudan: numbers & prediction

Senegal