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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ivory Coast v Gambia: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade de la Paix

Ivory Coast

LWWLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Gambia

WWLL
Ivory Coast 74%Draw 16%Gambia 9% Expected goals 2.37 – 0.71
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.39

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultIvory Coast to win74% · @1.18
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 9.83

Ivory Coast vs Gambia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gambia travel to face Ivory Coast on Thursday 12 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Stade de la Paix the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ivory Coast are 2nd on 12 points after 6 matches; Gambia are 3rd with 8.

Current form

Ivory Coast, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cameroon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Gambia, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Ghana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ivory Coast 2.4 xG, Gambia 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ivory Coast 74%, draw 16%, Gambia 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.50.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ivory Coast 2–0 Gambia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ivory Coast74%fair 1.34 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @6.20
Gambia9%fair 10.57 · @14.60
3.08Expected goals
2.37Ivory Coast xG
0.71Gambia xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ivory Coast 2.4 – 0.7 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIvory Coast to win74%1.341.18
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw91%1.101.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.50
Draw no betIvory Coast (draw no bet)89%1.13–
Asian handicapIvory Coast -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.261.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.561.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.241.11
First team to scoreIvory Coast to score first73%1.36–
Half-time resultIvory Coast ahead at half-time54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010%9.83–

Recent results

Ivory Coast – last 6

LWWLWL
3 Octvs Cameroon0–1L
29 Sep@ Somalia2–0W
24 Sepvs Ghana2–0W
30 Junvs Norway1–2L
25 Jun@ Curaçao2–0W
20 Jun@ Germany1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gambia – last 4

WWLL
29 Sep@ Ghana4–2W
25 Sepvs Somalia2–1W
29 May@ Iran1–3L
31 Mar@ Senegal1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ivory Coast and Gambia.

Ivory Coast vs Gambia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Ghana Somalia 177%1.05X17%10.2026%26.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.65
Congo DR Sierra Leone 172%1.20X17%5.75211%14.20 2.1–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06232%3.77 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48
Guinea Eritrea 174%1.12X18%7.2028%17.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06250%2.32 0.9–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic 161%1.56X21%3.65218%6.09 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.38
Cameroon Namibia 170%1.24X19%5.05211%13.30 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20
Senegal Sudan 177%1.07X16%8.9027%24.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

On our numbers Ivory Coast have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gambia 9%.

How many goals will there be in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our predicted score is Ivory Coast 2–0 Gambia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Ivory Coast vs Gambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Paix.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.