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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ghana v Somalia: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Essipong Stadium

Ghana

LLLLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Somalia

LLDD
Ghana 77%Draw 17%Somalia 6% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.52
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultGhana to win77% · @1.05
Double chanceGhana or draw94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.29

Ghana vs Somalia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 12 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Ghana against Somalia at Essipong Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Ghana, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Gambia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Somalia, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ivory Coast, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ghana 2.3 xG, Somalia 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ghana 77%, draw 17%, Somalia 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.30.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghana 2–0 Somalia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ghana77%fair 1.30 · @1.05
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @10.20
Somalia6%fair 16.70 · @26.00
2.81Expected goals
2.29Ghana xG
0.52Somalia xG
45%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Ghana 2.3 – 0.5 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGhana to win77%1.301.05
Double chanceGhana or draw94%1.061.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.821.30
Draw no betGhana (draw no bet)93%1.08–
Asian handicapGhana -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.711.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.591.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals79%1.271.24
First team to scoreGhana to score first77%1.31–
Half-time resultGhana ahead at half-time55%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ghana / FT Ghana53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012%8.29–

Recent results

Ghana – last 6

LLLLDW
29 Sepvs Gambia2–4L
24 Sep@ Ivory Coast0–2L
4 Jul@ Colombia0–1L
27 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
23 Jun@ England0–0D
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Somalia – last 4

LLDD
29 Sepvs Ivory Coast0–2L
25 Sep@ Gambia1–2L
31 Mar@ Mauritius0–0D
27 Marvs Mauritius0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Somalia.

Ghana vs Somalia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola6420+514
2Sudan6222-28
3Niger6213+17
4Ghana6033-43

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Congo DR Sierra Leone 172%1.20X17%5.75211%14.20 2.1–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 144%2.05X24%3.06232%3.77 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48
Guinea Eritrea 174%1.12X18%7.2028%17.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52
Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 126%3.11X24%3.06250%2.32 0.9–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41
Benin Central African Republic 161%1.56X21%3.65218%6.09 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.38
Cameroon Namibia 170%1.24X19%5.05211%13.30 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20
Ivory Coast Gambia 174%1.18X16%6.2029%14.60 2.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.39
Senegal Sudan 177%1.07X16%8.9027%24.00 2.3–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.63

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

On our numbers Ghana have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Somalia 6%.

How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Somalia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our predicted score is Ghana 2–0 Somalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Essipong Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.