Value bet: Barbados to win @ 2.90 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBarbados to win44% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.52
Barbados vs Guadeloupe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 November the CONCACAF Nations League brings Barbados against Guadeloupe at Stade Roger Zami. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Barbados, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bermuda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Guadeloupe, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to St. Lucia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barbados, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Guadeloupe.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Guadeloupe 2–2 Barbados.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbados 1.8 xG, Guadeloupe 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbados 44%, draw 23%, Guadeloupe 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Barbados to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 44%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbados 1–1 Guadeloupe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbados44%fair 2.29 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.58
Guadeloupe34%fair 2.98 · @2.20
3.09Expected goals
1.80Barbados xG
1.29Guadeloupe xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Barbados 1.8 – 1.3 Guadeloupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barbados
Guadeloupe
Attack vs CONCACAF Nations League average
+15%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-1%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.10
Our own ratings from every CONCACAF Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
On our numbers Barbados have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadeloupe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Our predicted score is Barbados 1–1 Guadeloupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Barbados vs Guadeloupe (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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