Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.28 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCuba to win69% · @1.06
Double chanceCuba or draw85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals71% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.75
Bonaire vs Cuba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Bonaire v Cuba in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Estadio La Polar.
Current form
Bonaire, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Grenada, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Cuba, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with St. Kitts and Nevis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cuba, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Bonaire.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Cuba 2–0 Bonaire.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bonaire 1.3 xG, Cuba 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bonaire 15%, draw 16%, Cuba 69%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.28.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bonaire 1–2 Cuba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bonaire15%fair 6.75 · @23.00
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @10.20
Cuba69%fair 1.45 · @1.06
3.67Expected goals
1.29Bonaire xG
2.38Cuba xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bonaire 1.3 – 2.4 Cuba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bonaire
Cuba
Attack vs CONCACAF Nations League average
-2%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.53
2.07
Our own ratings from every CONCACAF Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Bonaire vs Cuba?
On our numbers Bonaire have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cuba 69%.
How many goals will there be in Bonaire vs Cuba?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bonaire vs Cuba?
Our predicted score is Bonaire 1–2 Cuba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Bonaire vs Cuba?
Bonaire vs Cuba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Polar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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