Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.06 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIbiza Islas Pitiusas to win82% · @1.01
Double chanceIbiza Islas Pitiusas or draw96% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.32
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.07
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–014% · fair 7.04
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas v Arenal in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11. In the table, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Arenal are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Alcúdia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Arenal, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Platges Calvià, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Arenal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2.5 xG, Arenal 0.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 82%, draw 13%, Arenal 4%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.32.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3–0 Arenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas82%fair 1.21 · @1.01
Draw13%fair 7.45 · @10.20
Arenal4%fair 24.24 · @28.00
2.96Expected goals
2.54Ibiza Islas Pitiusas xG
0.42Arenal xG
46%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–017%
3–014%
1–013%
4–09%
2–17%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2.5 – 0.4 Arenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Arenal
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+5%
-35%
Goals conceded vs average
-58%
+35%
Our expected goals here
2.23
0.34
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to win
82%
1.21
1.01
Double chance
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw
96%
1.04
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.32
Draw no bet
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (draw no bet)
95%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas -1.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
55%
1.82
2.06 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.48 ▲
First team to score
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas to score first
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas ahead at half-time
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas / FT Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
59%
1.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas – last 6
WDDWWD
7 Nov
@ Alcúdia
3–0
W
1 Nov
vs Constància
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Santanyí
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Inter Ibiza
3–0
W
4 Oct
vs Formentera
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Andratx
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arenal – last 6
LLDLLL
7 Nov
vs Platges Calvià
0–2
L
31 Oct
@ Binissalem
0–3
L
21 Oct
vs Manacor
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs PE Sant Jordi
0–3
L
3 Oct
@ Llosetense
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Porreres
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and Arenal.
What is the prediction for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
On our numbers Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Arenal 4%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Our predicted score is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3–0 Arenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
