Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.98 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLatvia U19 to win60% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.96
Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 November the UEFA U19 Championship Qualification brings Latvia U19 against Moldova U19 at Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT.
Current form
Latvia U19, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Estonia U19, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latvia U19 1.4 xG, Moldova U19 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latvia U19 60%, draw 19%, Moldova U19 21%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latvia U19 1–0 Moldova U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latvia U1960%fair 1.68 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.96
Moldova U1921%fair 4.78 · @5.05
2.09Expected goals
1.44Latvia U19 xG
0.66Moldova U19 xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Latvia U19 1.4 – 0.7 Moldova U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia U19 to win
60%
1.68
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.78
Draw no bet
Latvia U19 (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Moldova U19 +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.98 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Latvia U19 to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia U19 / FT Latvia U19
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Latvia U19 – last 6
WLDDWL
8 Jun
vs Estonia U19
3–2
W
4 Jun
vs Lithuania U19
0–1
L
21 May
@ San Marino U19
0–0
D
18 May
@ Slovakia U19
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Belgium U19
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Czech Republic U19
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Moldova U19
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia U19 and Moldova U19.
What is the prediction for Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
On our numbers Latvia U19 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moldova U19 21%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
Our predicted score is Latvia U19 1–0 Moldova U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19?
Latvia U19 vs Moldova U19 (UEFA U19 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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