Chernihiv vs Inhulets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Inhulets travel to face Chernihiv on Wednesday 11 November in the Persha Liga, with Chernihiv Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Chernihiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Inhulets are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Chernihiv, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yarud Mariupol', at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Inhulets, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kulykiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chernihiv, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Inhulets.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Chernihiv 1–2 Inhulets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chernihiv 1.7 xG, Inhulets 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chernihiv 57%, draw 21%, Inhulets 22%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chernihiv 1–0 Inhulets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chernihiv57%fair 1.75 · @1.79
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.45
Inhulets22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
2.57Expected goals
1.67Chernihiv xG
0.90Inhulets xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chernihiv 1.7 – 0.9 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
On our numbers Chernihiv have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inhulets 22%.
How many goals will there be in Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
Our predicted score is Chernihiv 1–0 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
Chernihiv vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Chernihiv Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
