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Barnsley v Oldham: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Oakwell Ground

Barnsley

WDLLL
Wed 11 Nov 2026

Oldham

DWLDL
Barnsley 53%Draw 21%Oldham 26% Expected goals 2.20 – 1.63
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarnsley to win53% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.68

Barnsley vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 11 November the EFL Trophy brings Barnsley against Oldham at Oakwell Ground. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Barnsley are 2nd on 3 points after 3 matches; Oldham are 4th with 0. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Barnsley, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Aldershot Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Oldham, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheffield Wednesday, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oldham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Barnsley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnsley 2.2 xG, Oldham 1.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnsley 53%, draw 21%, Oldham 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnsley 2–1 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnsley53%fair 1.90 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.75
Oldham26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
3.83Expected goals
2.20Barnsley xG
1.63Oldham xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–26%
3–16%
2–05%

From our goals model: Barnsley 2.2 – 1.6 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarnsleyOldham
Attack vs EFL Trophy average+0%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+31%-11%
Our expected goals here1.701.38

Our own ratings from every EFL Trophy result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnsley to win53%1.901.67
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score69%1.451.33
Draw no betBarnsley (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapOldham +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals74%1.351.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals54%1.831.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals64%1.551.50
First team to scoreBarnsley to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultBarnsley ahead at half-time40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnsley / FT Barnsley32%3.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.68–

Recent results

Barnsley – last 6

WDLLLL
7 Novvs Aldershot Town7–2W
31 Octvs Oxford United1–1D
24 Oct@ Reading1–2L
20 Oct@ Luton1–2L
17 Octvs Cambridge United1–2L
10 Oct@ Stockport County1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Oldham – last 6

DWLDLW
8 Novvs Sheffield Wednesday1–1D
3 Nov@ Northampton1–0W
31 Octvs Crawley Town0–1L
24 Oct@ Barnet1–1D
20 Oct@ Walsall0–3L
17 Octvs Cheltenham4–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Oldham.

Barnsley vs Oldham head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln3300+89
2Barnsley310203
3Manchester United U213102-43
4Notts County3102-43

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
Sheffield Wednesday Accrington ST 153%1.70X25%3.70222%4.10 1.8–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Oldham?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Barnsley vs Oldham?

On our numbers Barnsley have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oldham 26%.

How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Oldham?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Oldham?

Our predicted score is Barnsley 2–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Barnsley vs Oldham?

Barnsley vs Oldham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.