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Liverpool W v Aston Villa W: numbers & prediction

WSL Cup · England · St Helens Stadium
Wed 11 Nov 2026
Liverpool W 54%Draw 23%Aston Villa W 23% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.55
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool W to win54% · @1.54
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.28

Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 11 November the WSL Cup brings Liverpool W against Aston Villa W at St Helens Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Liverpool W, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arsenal W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Aston Villa W, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manchester United W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aston Villa W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Liverpool W.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool W 2.1 xG, Aston Villa W 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool W 54%, draw 23%, Aston Villa W 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool W 2–1 Aston Villa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool W54%fair 1.85 · @1.54
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
Aston Villa W23%fair 4.32 · @4.50
3.69Expected goals
2.15Liverpool W xG
1.55Aston Villa W xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–26%
3–16%
2–06%

From our goals model: Liverpool W 2.1 – 1.5 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Liverpool WAston Villa W
Attack vs WSL Cup average+48%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+25%-31%
Our expected goals here1.881.58

Our own ratings from every WSL Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool W to win54%1.851.54
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score66%1.511.55
Draw no betLiverpool W (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapAston Villa W +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.191.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.511.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals55%1.821.52
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.371.18
First team to scoreLiverpool W to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLiverpool W ahead at half-time40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool W / FT Liverpool W32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.28–

Recent results

Liverpool W – last 6

LLDLLL
7 Novvs Arsenal W1–2L
1 Nov@ West Ham W1–4L
25 Octvs London City Lionesses W2–2D
21 Octvs Manchester United W3–5L
18 Oct@ Aston Villa W1–2L
3 Oct@ Manchester United W0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aston Villa W – last 6

LDDWWW
7 Novvs Manchester United W0–1L
1 Nov@ Arsenal W1–1D
28 Octvs Birmingham City W1–1D
25 Oct@ Everton W3–2W
21 Oct@ Burnley W2–0W
18 Octvs Liverpool W2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026Aston Villa W v Liverpool W2–1
Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W head-to-head page →

More WSL Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

On our numbers Liverpool W have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aston Villa W 23%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

Our predicted score is Liverpool W 2–1 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W?

Liverpool W vs Aston Villa W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at St Helens Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.