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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Londrina v Nautico Recife: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio do Cafe
Wed 11 Nov 2026
Londrina 55%Draw 23%Nautico Recife 22% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.01
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLondrina to win55% · @1.74
Double chanceLondrina or draw78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.33

Londrina vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Londrina v Nautico Recife in the Serie B, played at Estadio do Cafe. In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Londrina, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Botafogo SP, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Nautico Recife, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CRB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Nautico Recife 2–1 Londrina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.7 xG, Nautico Recife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 55%, draw 23%, Nautico Recife 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Londrina or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Londrina55%fair 1.83 · @1.74
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.65
Nautico Recife22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.68Londrina xG
1.01Nautico Recife xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Londrina 1.7 – 1.0 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LondrinaNautico Recife
Attack vs Serie B average+4%-22%
Goals conceded vs average+31%+17%
Our expected goals here1.661.05

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLondrina to win55%1.831.74
Double chanceLondrina or draw78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.711.71
Draw no betLondrina (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapNautico Recife +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.951.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.10
First team to scoreLondrina to score first58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Londrina / FT Londrina33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.33–

Recent results

Londrina – last 6

LLLWDL
5 Nov@ Botafogo SP0–4L
1 Novvs America Mineiro1–3L
24 Oct@ CRB1–2L
20 Octvs Cuiaba1–0W
13 Oct@ Athletic Club2–2D
7 Oct@ Avai1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nautico Recife – last 6

LWLDLL
8 Novvs CRB0–3L
31 Octvs Avai1–0W
27 Oct@ Juventude0–4L
19 Oct@ Goias0–0D
11 Octvs Vila Nova0–2L
8 Octvs Novorizontino0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Nautico Recife v Londrina2–1
Londrina vs Nautico Recife head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

On our numbers Londrina have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nautico Recife 22%.

How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

Londrina vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Cafe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.