Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.74
Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the NPFL brings Warri Wolves against Sporting Lagos at Warri Township Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Warri Wolves, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Katsina United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sporting Lagos, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Katsina United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warri Wolves 1.2 xG, Sporting Lagos 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warri Wolves 46%, draw 25%, Sporting Lagos 28%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (88%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warri Wolves 1–0 Sporting Lagos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warri Wolves46%fair 2.16
Draw25%fair 3.95
Sporting Lagos28%fair 3.54
1.89Expected goals
1.16Warri Wolves xG
0.74Sporting Lagos xG
40%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Warri Wolves 1.2 – 0.7 Sporting Lagos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Warri Wolves
Sporting Lagos
Attack vs NPFL average
-28%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.65
Our own ratings from every NPFL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warri Wolves to win
46%
2.16
–
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Warri Wolves (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Lagos +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Warri Wolves to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warri Wolves / FT Warri Wolves
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.74
–
Recent results
Warri Wolves – last 6
DDDDWL
8 Nov
vs Katsina United
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Plateau United
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Kano Pillars
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Enyimba
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Inter Lagos
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Doma United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sporting Lagos – last 6
LWWDDD
1 Nov
@ Katsina United
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Plateau United
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs Bendel Insurance
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Kano Pillars
1–1
D
30 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Barau FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warri Wolves and Sporting Lagos.
What is the prediction for Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 88% chance.
Who will win Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
On our numbers Warri Wolves have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting Lagos 28%.
How many goals will there be in Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
Our predicted score is Warri Wolves 1–0 Sporting Lagos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos?
Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Warri Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
