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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Internacional: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · São Januário
Thu 19 Nov 2026
Vasco DA Gama 56%Draw 24%Internacional 19% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.97
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win56% · @1.62
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.35

Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vasco DA Gama welcome Internacional to São Januário for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 19 November (23:30 WAT). In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Palmeiras, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Internacional, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coritiba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.7 xG, Internacional 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 56%, draw 24%, Internacional 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vasco DA Gama or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama56%fair 1.77 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.75
Internacional19%fair 5.17 · @5.00
2.65Expected goals
1.68Vasco DA Gama xG
0.97Internacional xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.7 – 1.0 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Vasco DA GamaInternacional
Attack vs Serie A average+8%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+6%-5%
Our expected goals here1.561.03

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win56%1.771.62
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.80
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet)74%1.34–
Asian handicapInternacional +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.14
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.35–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WWLLWL
8 Novvs Palmeiras2–1W
4 Nov@ Atletico Paranaense3–1W
1 Nov@ Palmeiras0–1L
30 Octvs Flamengo1–4L
24 Octvs Corinthians3–2W
21 Octvs Boca Juniors1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Internacional – last 6

WLWLDW
4 Novvs Coritiba1–0W
28 Oct@ Fluminense1–2L
24 Octvs Botafogo3–0W
17 Oct@ Mirassol0–2L
11 Oct@ Gremio1–1D
7 Octvs Corinthians2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Internacional.

Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional 19%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional?

Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.