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Corinthians v Botafogo: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Neo Quimica Arena
Thu 19 Nov 2026
Corinthians 53%Draw 27%Botafogo 21% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.94
79%
Betarazi pick

Corinthians or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCorinthians to win53% · @1.83
Double chanceCorinthians or draw79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.66

Corinthians vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botafogo travel to face Corinthians on Thursday 19 November in the Serie A, with Neo Quimica Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42.

Current form

Corinthians, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sao Paulo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Botafogo, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.6 xG, Botafogo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 53%, draw 27%, Botafogo 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Corinthians or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Corinthians or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Corinthians53%fair 1.90 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.50
Botafogo21%fair 4.82 · @4.10
2.50Expected goals
1.56Corinthians xG
0.94Botafogo xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.9 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CorinthiansBotafogo
Attack vs Serie A average-15%-23%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+6%
Our expected goals here1.380.91

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorinthians to win53%1.901.83
Double chanceCorinthians or draw79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.80
Draw no betCorinthians (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapBotafogo +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.911.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.12
First team to scoreCorinthians to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Corinthians / FT Corinthians31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.66–

Recent results

Corinthians – last 6

DWLDLL
5 Nov@ Sao Paulo0–0D
31 Octvs Mirassol2–0W
24 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama2–3L
20 Octvs Vitoria1–1D
11 Oct@ Palmeiras1–4L
7 Oct@ Internacional1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Botafogo – last 6

WLLWDL
5 Novvs Atletico-MG1–0W
29 Oct@ Remo1–2L
24 Oct@ Internacional0–3L
17 Octvs Chapecoense-sc1–0W
12 Oct@ Coritiba1–1D
8 Octvs Vasco DA Gama1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Botafogo v Corinthians3–1
Corinthians vs Botafogo head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Our pick is Corinthians or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

On our numbers Corinthians have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo 21%.

How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Botafogo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Corinthians vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.