Value bet: Philippines to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTajikistan to win ✗38% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Tajikistan vs Philippines: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philippines travel to face Tajikistan on Tuesday 31 March in the Asian Cup Qualification, with Pamir Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tajikistan 1.4 xG, Philippines 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tajikistan 38%, draw 26%, Philippines 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Philippines to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tajikistan 1–1 Philippines. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tajikistan38%fair 2.60 · @2.08
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.15
Philippines36%fair 2.79 · @3.40
2.93Expected goals
1.42Tajikistan xG
1.51Philippines xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tajikistan 1.4 – 1.5 Philippines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tajikistan to win✗
38%
2.60
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Tajikistan (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Tajikistan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Philippines to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philippines / FT Philippines✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Tajikistan
No recent results on record.
Philippines
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tajikistan and Philippines.
What is the prediction for Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tajikistan vs Philippines?
On our numbers Tajikistan have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Philippines 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tajikistan vs Philippines?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Our predicted score is Tajikistan 1–1 Philippines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Tajikistan vs Philippines (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pamir Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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