Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 58% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLebanon to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceLebanon or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Lebanon vs Yemen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yemen travel to face Lebanon on Thursday 4 June in the Asian Cup Qualification – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lebanon 2.2 xG, Yemen 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lebanon 59%, draw 24%, Yemen 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lebanon or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lebanon or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lebanon 2–1 Yemen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lebanon59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
Yemen18%fair 5.71 · @3.90
3.30Expected goals
2.16Lebanon xG
1.14Yemen xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lebanon 2.2 – 1.1 Yemen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lebanon to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lebanon or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Lebanon (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Lebanon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lebanon to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Lebanon ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lebanon / FT Lebanon✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Lebanon
No recent results on record.
Yemen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lebanon and Yemen.
Our pick is Lebanon or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lebanon vs Yemen?
On our numbers Lebanon have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yemen 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lebanon vs Yemen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lebanon vs Yemen?
Our predicted score is Lebanon 2–1 Yemen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lebanon vs Yemen?
Lebanon vs Yemen (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
