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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ukraine U21 v Lithuania U21: numbers & prediction

Ukraine U21 74%Draw 16%Lithuania U21 10% Expected goals 2.38 – 0.76
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUkraine U21 to win ✗74% · @1.15
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lithuania U21 travel to face Ukraine U21 on Friday 27 March in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Ukraine U21 are 2nd, among the top four, on 17 points after 8 matches; Lithuania U21 are 4th (among the top four) with 7.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine U21 2.4 xG, Lithuania U21 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine U21 74%, draw 16%, Lithuania U21 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine U21 2–0 Lithuania U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ukraine U2174%fair 1.36 · @1.15
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @6.00
Lithuania U2110%fair 9.75 · @16.00
3.14Expected goals
2.38Ukraine U21 xG
0.76Lithuania U21 xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ukraine U21 2.4 – 0.8 Lithuania U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUkraine U21 to win ✗74%1.361.15
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.15 ▲
Draw no betUkraine U21 (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapUkraine U21 -1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
First team to scoreUkraine U21 to score first73%1.38–
Half-time resultUkraine U21 ahead at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ukraine U21 / FT Ukraine U21 ✗49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Ukraine U21

No recent results on record.

Lithuania U21

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ukraine U21 and Lithuania U21.

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U218800+3224
2Slovakia U218503+815
3Northern Ireland U218215-107
4Lithuania U218215-157
5Malta U218206-156
6Russia U21000000

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?

On our numbers Ukraine U21 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lithuania U21 10%.

How many goals will there be in Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?

Our predicted score is Ukraine U21 2–0 Lithuania U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21?

Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.