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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

France U21 v Iceland U21: numbers & prediction

France U21 66%Draw 19%Iceland U21 15% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.29
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 60% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFrance U21 to win ✓66% · @1.17
Double chanceFrance U21 or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.65

France U21 vs Iceland U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

France U21 welcome Iceland U21 for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Monday 30 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, France U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Iceland U21 are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give France U21 2.3 xG, Iceland U21 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – France U21 66%, draw 19%, Iceland U21 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: France U21 2–1 Iceland U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

France U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @6.00
Iceland U2115%fair 6.83 · @14.00
3.61Expected goals
2.32France U21 xG
1.29Iceland U21 xG
60%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: France U21 2.3 – 1.3 Iceland U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

France U21Iceland U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average+42%+26%
Goals conceded vs average-20%-22%
Our expected goals here2.061.50

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance U21 to win ✓66%1.521.17
Double chanceFrance U21 or draw ✓85%1.17–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.682.00 ▲
Draw no betFrance U21 (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapFrance U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
First team to scoreFrance U21 to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultFrance U21 ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT France U21 / FT France U21 ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.65–

Recent results

France U21 – last 1

W
26 Mar@ Luxembourg U215–1W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Iceland U21 – last 1

W
26 Marvs Estonia U216–2W
6.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between France U21 and Iceland U21.

France U21 vs Iceland U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U2110910+3828
2Iceland U2110532+1818
3Greece U2110523+617
4Belarus U2110406+112
5Cyprus U2110325011
6Liechtenstein U21100010-630

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for France U21 vs Iceland U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win France U21 vs Iceland U21?

On our numbers France U21 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Iceland U21 15%.

How many goals will there be in France U21 vs Iceland U21?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for France U21 vs Iceland U21?

Our predicted score is France U21 2–1 Iceland U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is France U21 vs Iceland U21?

France U21 vs Iceland U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.