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Montenegro U21 v Poland U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Tusko

Poland U21

Montenegro U21 26%Draw 24%Poland U21 50% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.81

80%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoland U21 to win ✓50% · @1.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Montenegro U21 v Poland U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, played at Tusko. In the table, Montenegro U21 are 5th on 11 points after 10 matches; Poland U21 are 3rd with 18.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montenegro U21 1.5 xG, Poland U21 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Montenegro U21 26%, draw 24%, Poland U21 50%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montenegro U21 1–1 Poland U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montenegro U2126%fair 3.90 · @4.75

Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.75

Poland U2150%fair 1.98 · @1.60

3.31Expected goals

1.50Montenegro U21 xG

1.81Poland U21 xG

60%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–17%

2–27%

0–17%

0–26%

From our goals model: Montenegro U21 1.5 – 1.8 Poland U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Montenegro U21	Poland U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average	-14%	+21%
Goals conceded vs average	-6%	+15%
Our expected goals here	1.84	1.70

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Poland U21 to win ✓	50%	1.98	1.60
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.65	1.67
Draw no bet	Poland U21 (draw no bet) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Asian handicap	Montenegro U21 +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.68	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
First team to score	Poland U21 to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.68	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Poland U21 / FT Poland U21 ✓	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.15	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montenegro U21 and Poland U21.

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany U21	10	9	0	1	+23	27
2	Israel U21	10	6	1	3	+9	19
3	Poland U21	10	5	3	2	+17	18
4	Hungary U21	10	4	2	4	-1	14
5	Latvia U21	10	2	1	7	-14	7
6	San Marino U21	10	0	1	9	-34	1

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Latvia U211

Northern Ireland U213 132%3.10X25%3.20243%2.15 1.2–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✗

Slovenia U212

Norway U210 125%3.60X21%3.70254%1.80 1.3–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.53 ✗

Armenia U210

North Macedonia U212 138%2.65X25%3.30237%2.38 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Hungary U211

Ukraine U212 133%3.20X24%3.45243%2.00 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Finland U213

Cyprus U210 179%1.11X14%7.2027%18.00 3.0–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓

Czech Republic U215

Gibraltar U210 178%1.03X14%15.0027%66.00 2.4–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.30 ✓

Kazakhstan U210

Republic of Ireland U211 123%4.50X22%3.60256%1.67 1.4–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✗

Israel U210

Bosnia-Herzegovina U210 162%1.95X22%3.25215%3.50 1.5–0.6xG 1XIsrael U21 or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21?

On our numbers Montenegro U21 have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Poland U21 50%.

How many goals will there be in Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21?

Our predicted score is Montenegro U21 1–1 Poland U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21?

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.