Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Northern Ireland U21 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNorthern Ireland U21 to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceNorthern Ireland U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Thursday 1 October: Northern Ireland U21 v Georgia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, played at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Current form
Northern Ireland U21, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Malta U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Georgia U21, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Greece U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Northern Ireland U21, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Georgia U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northern Ireland U21 2.0 xG, Georgia U21 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northern Ireland U21 61%, draw 25%, Georgia U21 14%.
Lower-risk option: Northern Ireland U21 or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Northern Ireland U21 to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Northern Ireland U21 or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northern Ireland U21 2–0 Georgia U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northern Ireland U2161%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Georgia U2114%fair 7.24 · @3.80
2.94Expected goals
2.03Northern Ireland U21 xG
0.91Georgia U21 xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Northern Ireland U21 2.0 – 0.9 Georgia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northern Ireland U21 to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Northern Ireland U21 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Northern Ireland U21 (draw no bet)
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Northern Ireland U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Northern Ireland U21 to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Northern Ireland U21 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northern Ireland U21 / FT Northern Ireland U21✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Northern Ireland U21 – last 4
WLWL
26 Sep
@ Malta U21
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Portugal U21
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Latvia U21
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Germany U21
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Georgia U21 – last 4
LLWD
26 Sep
vs Greece U21
0–3
L
9 Jun
@ Moldova U21
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Malta U21
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Latvia U21
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland U21 and Georgia U21.
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Our pick is Northern Ireland U21 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
On our numbers Northern Ireland U21 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Georgia U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Our predicted score is Northern Ireland U21 2–0 Georgia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21?
Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Greece U214
Latvia U212
North Macedonia U211
Montenegro U211
Armenia U210
Italy U211
Hungary U212